League Two

League Two

Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 13:30Rodney Parade, Newport

Newport County vs Rochdale: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Newport County v Rochdale in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Newport County vs Rochdale prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Newport County (42%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Newport County
42%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Rochdale
33%

Expected goals

Newport County 1.57 · Rochdale 1.37

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Newport County went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9.
  • Rochdale went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 8.
  • At home, Newport County have won 1 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Rochdale have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Newport County's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In Rochdale's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Newport County

Newport County

Last 5 matches

LWWLD

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

7-9

Goals

  • D8 AugAFC Wimbledon1-1Newport County
  • L4 AugNewport County1-4AS Roma
  • W2 MayBarrow1-2Newport County
  • W25 AprNewport County3-2Oldham Athletic
  • L18 AprCheltenham Town1-0Newport County
Rochdale

Rochdale

Last 5 matches

DWWDL

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

7-8

Goals

  • L8 AugBradford City2-0Rochdale
  • D1 AugTranmere Rovers2-2Rochdale
  • W10 MayBoreham Wood2-2Rochdale
  • W3 MayRochdale2-1Scunthorpe United
  • D25 AprRochdale1-1York City

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Newport County

Newport County

4-2-3-1
1
Jordan Wright
22
Cameron Norman
3
Tom Davies
5
Lee Jenkins
4
Kyle Cameron
6
Ciaran Brennan
20
Yahya Bamba
2
Cameron Evans
10
Harrison Biggins
9
Shaquille Gwengwe
27
Christian Doidge

Substitutes

AM
Alfie Merritt
#17 · SUB
MA
Moses Alexander-Walker
#14 · SUB
GG
Gerard Garner
#19 · SUB
SM
Shaun MacDonald
#33 · SUB
DS
Dan Sassi
#34 · SUB
MS
Matt Smith
#8 · SUB
CJ
Cole Jarvis
#40 · SUB
Rochdale

Rochdale

4-1-4-1
1
Nils Ramming
13
Tobi Adebayo-Rowling
27
Bryant Bilongo
6
Ethan Ebanks-Landell
26
Sam Sherring
4
Ryan East
19
Luke Hannant
8
Harvey Gilmour
39
Dajaune Brown
10
Devante Rodney
9
Emmanuel Dieseruvwe

Substitutes

JS
Jake Spaven
#12 · SUB
BA
Babajide Adeeko
#17 · SUB
EF
Edward Francis
#14 · SUB
ZS
Zain Silcott-Duberry
#11 · SUB
KW
Kaiden Wilson
#3 · SUB
SW
Sam Waller
#20 · SUB
DM
Daniel Moss
#22 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.