League Two

League Two

Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 16:00Sixfields Stadium, Northampton

Northampton Town vs Swindon Town: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Northampton Town v Swindon Town in the League Two.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Northampton Town vs Swindon Town prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Northampton Town (43%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Northampton Town
43%
X · Draw
25%
2 · Swindon Town
32%

Expected goals

Northampton Town 1.71 · Swindon Town 1.46

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Northampton Town went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 13.
  • Swindon Town went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 16.
  • At home, Northampton Town have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Swindon Town have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 4.0 conceded on average).
  • In Northampton Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Swindon Town's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Northampton Town

Northampton Town

Last 5 matches

LLLLL

0

Wins

0

Draws

5

Losses

3-13

Goals

  • L8 AugLeicester City1-0Northampton Town
  • L11 JulLeicester City3-0Northampton Town
  • L2 MayNorthampton Town2-3Plymouth Argyle
  • L28 AprNorthampton Town0-1Barnsley
  • L25 AprCardiff City5-1Northampton Town
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

Last 5 matches

DLLLL

0

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

6-16

Goals

  • L8 AugCardiff City3-2Swindon Town
  • L18 JulCrystal Palace5-1Swindon Town
  • L2 MaySwindon Town1-2Chesterfield
  • L25 AprGrimsby Town4-0Swindon Town
  • D18 AprSwindon Town2-2Accrington Stanley

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Northampton Town

Northampton Town

4-4-2
1
Zach Jeacock
44
Janoi Donacien
3
James Maxwell
6
Elliott Moore
5
Jon Guthrie
8
Lee Evans
16
Joe Wormleighton
14
Tyrese Fornah
20
Logan Briggs
9
Matthew Warhurst
24
Connor Lemonheigh-Evans

Substitutes

HS
Harvey Saunders
#32 · SUB
SH
Sam Hoskins
#7 · SUB
MD
Max Dyche
#35 · SUB
JP
Jack Perkins
#21 · SUB
RF
Ross Fitzsimons
#34 · SUB
KS
Kamarai Simon-Swyer
#11 · SUB
EL
Elliott List
#10 · SUB
Swindon Town

Swindon Town

4-1-4-1
1
Connor Ripley
2
Mitchell Clark
34
Billy Kirkman
5
Stephan Negru
21
Kaelan Majekodunmi
7
Tom Nichols
39
Louis Millard
24
Matthew Virtue-Thick
8
Ollie Clarke
20
Ben Middlemas
23
Aaron Drinan

Substitutes

LW
Lewis Ward
#12 · SUB
JP
Jaylan Pearman
#22 · SUB
RT
Ryan Tafazolli
#17 · SUB
LG
Lucas Griffiths-Brown
#38 · SUB
JH
Joseph Hungbo
#15 · SUB
OP
Ollie Palmer
#28 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.