Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 16:00Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr United vs Greenock Morton: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Ayr United v Greenock Morton in the Scottish Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Ayr United vs Greenock Morton prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Ayr United (58%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Ayr United
58%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Greenock Morton
18%

Expected goals

Ayr United 1.79 · Greenock Morton 0.89

Most likely scores

1-0 (12%) · 1-1 (12%) · 2-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Ayr United went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
  • Greenock Morton went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 9.
  • At home, Ayr United have won 2 of their last 2 matches (3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Greenock Morton have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Greenock Morton's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Ayr United

Ayr United

Last 5 matches

WWDLL

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

9-7

Goals

  • L22 AugRaith Rovers2-0Ayr United
  • L14 AugKilmarnock3-2Ayr United
  • D8 AugDunfermline Athletic1-1Ayr United
  • W1 AugAyr United2-0Arbroath
  • W25 JulAyr United4-1Alloa Athletic
Greenock Morton

Greenock Morton

Last 5 matches

LLLLL

0

Wins

0

Draws

5

Losses

1-9

Goals

  • L22 AugGreenock Morton1-2Arbroath
  • L8 AugStenhousemuir2-0Greenock Morton
  • L1 AugGreenock Morton0-1Partick Thistle
  • L25 JulGreenock Morton0-1Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • L18 JulSt Johnstone3-0Greenock Morton

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Ayr United

Ayr United

4-2-3-1
1
Harry Stone
32
Dylan Watret
33
Scott McMann
2
Nicholas Mcallister
5
Kevin Holt
16
Ben Summers
11
Ross Taylor
20
Luke Mcbeth
6
Reece Lyon
15
Jamie Murphy
7
Owen Stirton

Substitutes

TH
Thomas Hatton
#17 · SUB
JD
Jamie Douglas
#34 · SUB
KM
Kenzie Mitchell
#25 · SUB
LR
Liam Russell
#38 · SUB
LD
Liam Dick
#3 · SUB
MW
Matthew Warbrick
#26 · SUB
JS
Jack Simpson
#35 · SUB
Greenock Morton

Greenock Morton

4-2-3-1
1
Elyh Harrison
2
Cameron Ballantyne
28
Louie Murphy
4
Christopher Cupps
52
Laiith Fairnie
21
Grant Gillespie
29
Michael O'Halloran
47
Harry Cochrane
20
Callum Sandilands
7
Michael Garrity
10
Eamonn Brophy

Substitutes

KR
Kerr Robertson
#19 · SUB
JO
Joey O'Toole
#30 · SUB
SB
Sahil Bashir
#17 · SUB
BM
Bobby Mcluckie
#11 · SUB
MC
Mackenzie Carse
#25 · SUB
KM
Kris Moore
#6 · SUB
GS
Grant Savoury
#8 · SUB
BK
Brian Kinnear
#31 · SUB
DB
Dean Black
#35 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.