Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

Saturday, 22 August 2026 at 16:00Stark's Park, Fife

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Raith Rovers v Ayr United in the Scottish Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Raith Rovers vs Ayr United prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Raith Rovers (38%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Raith Rovers
38%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Ayr United
33%

Expected goals

Raith Rovers 1.27 · Ayr United 1.17

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Raith Rovers went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3.
  • Ayr United went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Raith Rovers have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Ayr United have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Raith Rovers's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

Last 5 matches

LLWDW

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

5-3

Goals

  • W8 AugQueen's Park1-2Raith Rovers
  • D1 AugRaith Rovers1-1Stenhousemuir
  • W21 JulRaith Rovers1-0Peterhead
  • L18 JulHamilton Academical1-1Raith Rovers
  • L14 JulKilmarnock0-0Raith Rovers
Ayr United

Ayr United

Last 5 matches

WWWDL

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

11-5

Goals

  • L14 AugKilmarnock3-2Ayr United
  • D8 AugDunfermline Athletic1-1Ayr United
  • W1 AugAyr United2-0Arbroath
  • W25 JulAyr United4-1Alloa Athletic
  • W18 JulAyr United2-0Edinburgh City

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Raith Rovers

Raith Rovers

4-2-3-1
1
Joshua Rae
2
Jai Rowe
3
Zak Delaney
5
Callum Fordyce
4
Paul Hanlon
14
Calum Adamson
11
John Robertson
21
Charles Telfer
25
Kai Montagu
18
Paul McMullan
19
Anton Dowds

Substitutes

LS
Lewis Stevenson
#16 · SUB
ST
Scott Tiffoney
#15 · SUB
RM
Ross Millen
#22 · SUB
LA
Luke Armstrong
#13 · SUB
SB
Scott Brown
#20 · SUB
DE
Dylan Easton
#23 · SUB
KT
Kyle Turner
#8 · SUB
Ayr United

Ayr United

3-5-2
1
Harry Stone
3
Liam Dick
5
Kevin Holt
8
Leon Thomson King
32
Dylan Watret
33
Scott McMann
20
Luke Mcbeth
16
Ben Summers
6
Reece Lyon
11
Ross Taylor
7
Owen Stirton

Substitutes

LR
Liam Russell
#38 · SUB
JS
Jack Simpson
#35 · SUB
MW
Matthew Warbrick
#26 · SUB
KM
Kenzie Mitchell
#25 · SUB
NM
Nicholas Mcallister
#2 · SUB
JD
Jamie Douglas
#34 · SUB
TH
Thomas Hatton
#17 · SUB
JM
Jamie Murphy
#15 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.