Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 16:00Firhill Stadium, Glasgow

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Partick Thistle v Ayr United in the Scottish Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Partick Thistle vs Ayr United prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Partick Thistle (46%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Partick Thistle
46%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Ayr United
24%

Expected goals

Partick Thistle 1.30 · Ayr United 0.88

Most likely scores

1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (14%) · 0-0 (12%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Partick Thistle went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 2.
  • Ayr United went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Partick Thistle have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Ayr United have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Partick Thistle's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
  • In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Partick Thistle

Partick Thistle

Last 5 matches

WWLDD

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

4-2

Goals

  • D29 AugPartick Thistle0-0Queen's Park
  • D21 AugInverness Caledonian Thistle1-1Partick Thistle
  • L16 AugHibernian1-0Partick Thistle
  • W7 AugPartick Thistle2-0Livingston
  • W1 AugGreenock Morton0-1Partick Thistle
Ayr United

Ayr United

Last 5 matches

WDLLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

6-7

Goals

  • D29 AugAyr United1-1Greenock Morton
  • L22 AugRaith Rovers2-0Ayr United
  • L14 AugKilmarnock3-2Ayr United
  • D8 AugDunfermline Athletic1-1Ayr United
  • W1 AugAyr United2-0Arbroath

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Partick Thistle

Partick Thistle

4-3-3
12
Liam Macfarlane
24
Ben Mcpherson
3
Patrick Reading
22
Cale Loughrey
20
Daniel O'Reilly
8
Oisin Smyth
14
Robbie Crawford
26
Ben Stanway
32
Tony Watt
7
Seb Drozd
21
Aidan Fitzpatrick

Substitutes

LA
Lee Ashcroft
#5 · SUB
JM
Josh Miller
#35 · SUB
AS
Alex Samuel
#9 · SUB
MF
Matthew Falconer
#25 · SUB
CL
Cammy Logan
#2 · SUB
BD
Ben Dempsey
#6 · SUB
LB
Lewis Budinauckas
#1 · SUB
TL
Tsoanelo Letsosa
#64 · SUB
EI
Ethan Ingram
#17 · SUB
Ayr United

Ayr United

4-2-3-1
1
Harry Stone
32
Dylan Watret
33
Scott McMann
8
Leon Thomson King
5
Kevin Holt
6
Reece Lyon
11
Ross Taylor
20
Luke Mcbeth
16
Ben Summers
12
Olly Whyte
7
Owen Stirton

Substitutes

MW
Matthew Warbrick
#26 · SUB
JL
Josh Landers
#9 · SUB
LD
Liam Dick
#3 · SUB
LR
Liam Russell
#38 · SUB
KM
Kenzie Mitchell
#25 · SUB
JM
Jamie Murphy
#15 · SUB
NM
Nicholas Mcallister
#2 · SUB
TH
Thomas Hatton
#17 · SUB
JD
Jamie Douglas
#34 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.