Scottish Championship

Scottish Championship

Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 16:00Somerset Park, Ayr

Ayr United vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Ayr United v Inverness Caledonian Thistle in the Scottish Championship.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Ayr United vs Inverness Caledonian Thistle prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Ayr United (45%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Ayr United
45%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Inverness Caledonian Thistle
25%

Expected goals

Ayr United 1.27 · Inverness Caledonian Thistle 0.87

Most likely scores

1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (14%) · 0-0 (13%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Ayr United went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
  • Inverness Caledonian Thistle went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Ayr United have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Inverness Caledonian Thistle have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
  • In Ayr United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Inverness Caledonian Thistle's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Ayr United

Ayr United

Last 6 matches

WDLLDL

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

6-8

Goals

  • L5 SeptPartick Thistle1-0Ayr United
  • D29 AugAyr United1-1Greenock Morton
  • L22 AugRaith Rovers2-0Ayr United
  • L14 AugKilmarnock3-2Ayr United
  • D8 AugDunfermline Athletic1-1Ayr United
  • W1 AugAyr United2-0Arbroath
Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Last 6 matches

DDLDLL

0

Wins

3

Draws

3

Losses

4-12

Goals

  • L5 SeptInverness Caledonian Thistle0-2Raith Rovers
  • L29 AugStenhousemuir3-1Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • D21 AugInverness Caledonian Thistle1-1Partick Thistle
  • L16 AugHeart of Midlothian6-2Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • D8 AugArbroath0-0Inverness Caledonian Thistle
  • D1 AugInverness Caledonian Thistle0-0Dunfermline Athletic

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Ayr United

Ayr United

4-4-1-1
1
Harry Stone
32
Dylan Watret
33
Scott McMann
8
Leon Thomson King
20
Luke Mcbeth
6
Reece Lyon
11
Ross Taylor
12
Olly Whyte
17
Thomas Hatton
7
Owen Stirton
16
Ben Summers

Substitutes

KH
Kevin Holt
#5 · SUB
JD
Jamie Douglas
#34 · SUB
MW
Matthew Warbrick
#26 · SUB
JL
Josh Landers
#9 · SUB
LD
Liam Dick
#3 · SUB
NM
Nicholas Mcallister
#2 · SUB
KM
Kenzie Mitchell
#25 · SUB
LR
Liam Russell
#38 · SUB
JM
Jamie Murphy
#15 · SUB
Inverness Caledonian Thistle

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

4-2-3-1
1
Ross Munro
2
Calum Macleod
4
Graeme Shinnie
6
Daniel Devine
5
Remi Savage
7
Paul Allan
16
Ryan Duncan
8
Adam Mackinnon
17
Liam Sole
11
Luis Longstaff
35
Alfie Stewart

Substitutes

DM
Daniel Mackay
#12 · SUB
NB
Noa Boutin
#3 · SUB
KS
Kerr Smith
#15 · SUB
MB
Morgan Bates
#19 · SUB
AB
Alfie Bavidge
#36 · SUB
MK
Miller Keir
#14 · SUB
LR
Logan Ross
#21 · SUB
RM
Roddy Macgregor
#26 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.