Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Friday, 18 September 2026 at 02:00Estadio Alfonso López, Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellín: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético Bucaramanga v Independiente Medellín in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético Bucaramanga vs Independiente Medellín prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético Bucaramanga (45%)

Medium sample · 7/9 matches
1 · Atlético Bucaramanga
45%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Independiente Medellín
28%

Expected goals

Atlético Bucaramanga 1.53 · Independiente Medellín 1.14

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 9 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético Bucaramanga went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
  • Independiente Medellín went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Atlético Bucaramanga have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Independiente Medellín have won 3 of their last 4 matches (2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético Bucaramanga's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

Last 6 matches

DDWDDW

2

Wins

4

Draws

0

Losses

9-6

Goals

  • W13 SeptDeportivo Pereira1-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D31 AugDeportivo Cali1-1Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D22 AugDeportes Tolima0-0Atlético Bucaramanga
  • W9 AugAlianza FC2-3Atlético Bucaramanga
  • D4 AugAtlético Bucaramanga1-1Cúcuta Deportivo
  • D31 JulAtlético Bucaramanga1-1Llaneros FC
Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

Last 6 matches

WLWWWL

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

13-7

Goals

  • L13 SeptBoyacá Chicó FC2-1Independiente Medellín
  • W10 SeptDeportivo Pasto1-4Independiente Medellín
  • W4 SeptDeportivo Pereira0-3Independiente Medellín
  • W30 AugIndependiente Medellín2-1Llaneros FC
  • L23 AugIndependiente Medellín0-1Cúcuta Deportivo
  • W5 AugDeportes Tolima2-3Independiente Medellín

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético Bucaramanga

Atlético Bucaramanga

5-3-2
25
Cristopher Fiermarin
19
Aldair Gutiérrez
8
Fredy Hinestroza
24
José Ortiz
23
Carlos Romaña
6
Nilson Castrillón
10
Fabián Sambueza
21
Felix Charrupí
17
Enmerson Batalla
27
Luciano Pons
22
Edwin Fabri Castro

Substitutes

VC
Victor Cantillo
#30 · SUB
AM
Adrián Murillo
#5 · SUB
FS
Fredy Salazar
#11 · SUB
LF
Leonardo Flores
#28 · SUB
DN
Diego Novoa
#12 · SUB
BC
Brandon Caicedo
#9 · SUB
EV
Emmanuel Valencia
#18 · SUB
MR
Martín Rea
#3 · SUB
KL
Kevin Londoño
#7 · SUB
Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1
25
Eder Chaux
26
Esneyder Mena
13
Jhan Mena
4
Kevin Mantilla
5
Joaquín Varela
6
Didier Moreno
11
Yony González
21
Agustín Martegani
8
Juan Fernando Quintero
20
John Montaño
9
Jeison Medina

Substitutes

LE
Luis Escorcia
#39 · SUB
HL
Halam Loboa
#16 · SUB
NE
Nivaldo Erazo
#24 · SUB
KK
Keiner Klinger
#34 · SUB
BP
Baldomero Perlaza
#14 · SUB
HP
Hayen Palacios
#30 · SUB
CG
Carlos Gonzalez
#32 · SUB
DC
Daniel Cataño
#10 · SUB
SI
Salvador Ichazo
#1 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.