Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Saturday, 12 September 2026 at 03:30Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogota

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Santa Fe v Deportes Tolima in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente Santa Fe vs Deportes Tolima prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Santa Fe (49%)

Medium sample · 12/9 matches
1 · Independiente Santa Fe
49%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Deportes Tolima
24%

Expected goals

Independiente Santa Fe 1.53 · Deportes Tolima 1.01

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 12 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Santa Fe went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • Deportes Tolima went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Independiente Santa Fe have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Deportes Tolima have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Santa Fe's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Deportes Tolima's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

Last 6 matches

DDDWDD

1

Wins

5

Draws

0

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • D9 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe0-0Vasco da Gama
  • D6 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • W3 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe3-2Millonarios
  • D30 AugAtlético Junior1-1Independiente Santa Fe
  • D27 AugRiver Plate1-1Independiente Santa Fe
  • D23 AugIndependiente Santa Fe0-0América de Cali
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Last 6 matches

WLDLWW

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

7-7

Goals

  • W8 SeptLlaneros FC1-2Deportes Tolima
  • W1 SeptDeportes Tolima2-1Cúcuta Deportivo
  • L26 AugIndependiente del Valle3-1Deportes Tolima
  • D22 AugDeportes Tolima0-0Atlético Bucaramanga
  • L19 AugDeportes Tolima0-1Independiente del Valle
  • W9 AugDeportes Tolima2-1Internacional de Bogotá

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

4-4-2
1
Andrés Mosquera
4
Mateo Puerta
24
Jeison Angulo
15
Iván Scarpeta
3
Víctor Moreno
6
Kilian Toscano
14
Luis Palacios
16
Daniel Torres
17
Maximiliano Lovera
19
Nahuel Bustos
10
Alexis Zapata

Substitutes

JO
Jáder Obrian
#77 · SUB
EO
Emanuel Olivera
#18 · SUB
JT
Johan Torres
#7 · SUB
ER
Emerson Rodríguez
#25 · SUB
WA
Weibmar Asprilla
#12 · SUB
CP
Cristhian Portocarrero
#39 · SUB
FF
Franco Fagúndez
#9 · SUB
HR
Hugo Rodallega
#11 · SUB
Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

4-4-2
1
Neto
3
Jan Angulo
20
Junior Hernández
5
Juan Mera
2
Anderson Angulo
14
Homer Martínez
28
Edwar López
32
Sebastián Guzmán
18
Kelvin Florez
10
Luis Sánchez
24
Adrián Parra

Substitutes

MO
Miguel Ortega
#13 · SUB
JC
Jorge Cabezas
#7 · SUB
CT
Cristian Trujillo
#6 · SUB
SJ
Santiago Joven
#19 · SUB
SA
Sergio Aguayo
#15 · SUB
DP
Daniel Pedrozo
#4 · SUB
NS
Néifer Sánchez
#29 · SUB
JM
Jherson Mosquera
#33 · SUB
SB
Shean Barbosa
#30 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.