Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Monday, 2 November 2026 at 00:10Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Medellín v Alianza FC in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente Medellín vs Alianza FC prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Medellín (54%)

Large sample · 18/16 matches
1 · Independiente Medellín
54%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Alianza FC
22%

Expected goals

Independiente Medellín 1.81 · Alianza FC 1.08

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (10%) · 1-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 18 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Medellín went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 12.
  • Alianza FC went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Independiente Medellín have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Alianza FC have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Alianza FC's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

Last 6 matches

LWLLLL

1

Wins

0

Draws

5

Losses

6-12

Goals

  • L29 OctInternacional de Bogotá3-1Independiente Medellín
  • L26 OctAtlético Nacional2-1Independiente Medellín
  • L18 OctIndependiente Medellín0-2Once Caldas
  • L15 OctAtlético Nacional3-2Independiente Medellín
  • W12 OctAmérica de Cali1-2Independiente Medellín
  • L6 OctIndependiente Medellín0-1Independiente Santa Fe
Alianza FC

Alianza FC

Last 6 matches

WLDWWL

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

7-7

Goals

  • L29 OctOnce Caldas1-0Alianza FC
  • W25 OctAlianza FC1-0Internacional de Bogotá
  • W20 OctDeportivo Pasto0-1Alianza FC
  • D10 OctAlianza FC2-2Águilas Doradas
  • L3 OctDeportivo Cali3-1Alianza FC
  • W27 SeptJaguares de Córdoba1-2Alianza FC

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1
25
Eder Chaux
26
Esneyder Mena
3
Anderson Murillo
39
Luis Escorcia
19
Alfonso Simarra
21
Agustín Martegani
11
Yony González
16
Halam Loboa
10
Daniel Cataño
18
Frank Fabra
9
Jeison Medina

Substitutes

KK
Keiner Klinger
#34 · SUB
JV
Joaquín Varela
#5 · SUB
JA
Jackson Arley Martínez Valencia
#15 · SUB
NE
Nivaldo Erazo
#24 · SUB
EL
Eider Luis Carrillo Córdoba
#27 · SUB
JM
John Montaño
#20 · SUB
CG
Carlos Gonzalez
#32 · SUB
DM
Diego Moreno
#31 · SUB
SI
Salvador Ichazo
#1 · SUB
Alianza FC

Alianza FC

3-4-3
40
Eduar Esteban
32
Juan Viveros
22
Jesús Figueroa
5
Pedro Franco
60
Yilson Rosales
33
Jhildrey Lasso
6
Ever Meza
7
Jair Castillo
77
Misael Martínez
55
Wiston Fernández
17
Felipe Pardo

Substitutes

SQ
Sebastián Quiñones
#2 · SUB
JP
Josy Pérez
#25 · SUB
JM
Jesús Muñoz
#8 · SUB
BS
Brayan Stiven Viafara Aponza
#11 · SUB
AS
Antonio Simancas
#13 · SUB
YL
Yeiner Londoño
#27 · SUB
CV
Charly Villegas
#14 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.