Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Monday, 26 October 2026 at 02:15Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro, Ibague

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Deportes Tolima v Deportivo Pasto in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Deportes Tolima (51%)

Large sample · 17/14 matches
1 · Deportes Tolima
51%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Deportivo Pasto
21%

Expected goals

Deportes Tolima 1.47 · Deportivo Pasto 0.85

Most likely scores

1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (13%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 17 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Deportes Tolima went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
  • Deportivo Pasto went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Deportes Tolima have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Deportivo Pasto have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Deportes Tolima's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Deportivo Pasto's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 0 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

Last 6 matches

DDDDLL

0

Wins

4

Draws

2

Losses

6-8

Goals

  • L18 OctÁguilas Doradas2-1Deportes Tolima
  • L11 OctJaguares de Córdoba3-2Deportes Tolima
  • D9 OctAtlético Nacional0-0Deportes Tolima
  • D3 OctDeportes Tolima0-0Boyacá Chicó FC
  • D28 SeptFortaleza CEIF2-2Deportes Tolima
  • D21 SeptDeportes Tolima1-1América de Cali
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

Last 6 matches

WWLDLL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

2-7

Goals

  • L23 OctAtlético Nacional3-0Deportivo Pasto
  • L20 OctDeportivo Pasto0-1Alianza FC
  • D4 OctDeportivo Pasto0-0Fortaleza CEIF
  • L26 SeptBoyacá Chicó FC3-0Deportivo Pasto
  • W20 SeptDeportivo Pasto1-0Once Caldas
  • W15 SeptAmérica de Cali0-1Deportivo Pasto

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Deportes Tolima

Deportes Tolima

4-2-3-1
1
Neto
33
Jherson Mosquera
20
Junior Hernández
71
Yordan Osorio
5
Juan Mera
14
Homer Martínez
8
Ever Valencia
80
Brayan Rovira
9
Luis Sandoval
28
Edwar López
24
Adrián Parra

Substitutes

JA
Jan Angulo
#3 · SUB
JV
Jader Valencia
#11 · SUB
MO
Miguel Ortega
#13 · SUB
KF
Kelvin Florez
#18 · SUB
JC
Jorge Cabezas
#7 · SUB
SB
Shean Barbosa
#30 · SUB
LS
Luis Sánchez
#10 · SUB
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto

4-5-1
12
Geovanni Banguera
33
Juan Garavito
3
Joyce Ossa
2
Fainer Torijano
5
Nicolás Gil
8
Enrique Serje
10
Diego Chavez
15
Harrinson Mancilla
25
Franco Leys
7
Jonathan Perlaza
16
Mayer Gil

Substitutes

MP
Matías Pisano
#32 · SUB
SJ
Santiago Jiménez
#6 · SUB
PP
Patrick Preciado
#19 · SUB
LM
Luis Marquinez
#13 · SUB
JM
Joider Micolta
#18 · SUB
SC
Santiago Córdoba
#29 · SUB
JM
John Méndez
#17 · SUB
KD
Kevin Daniel Santacruz Andrade
#24 · SUB
JQ
Julián Quiñónes
#36 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.