Colombian Primera A

Colombian Primera A

Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 02:00Metropolitano de Techo, Bogota

Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellín: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Fortaleza CEIF v Independiente Medellín in the Colombian Primera A.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Fortaleza CEIF vs Independiente Medellín prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Fortaleza CEIF (37%)

Large sample · 17/19 matches
1 · Fortaleza CEIF
37%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Independiente Medellín
36%

Expected goals

Fortaleza CEIF 1.35 · Independiente Medellín 1.32

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 0-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 19 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Fortaleza CEIF went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9.
  • Independiente Medellín went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Fortaleza CEIF have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Independiente Medellín have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
  • In Fortaleza CEIF's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Independiente Medellín's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In the table, Fortaleza CEIF are 20th and Independiente Medellín 7th (12 and 26 points). Independiente Medellín sit 13 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Fortaleza CEIF

Fortaleza CEIF

Last 6 matches

DLLDLL

0

Wins

2

Draws

4

Losses

6-9

Goals

  • L2 NovÁguilas Doradas1-0Fortaleza CEIF
  • L30 OctAmérica de Cali2-1Fortaleza CEIF
  • D25 OctFortaleza CEIF1-1Deportivo Cali
  • L21 OctInternacional de Bogotá2-1Fortaleza CEIF
  • L11 OctIndependiente Santa Fe2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • D9 OctFortaleza CEIF1-1Millonarios
Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

Last 6 matches

WLLLLW

2

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

8-12

Goals

  • W2 NovIndependiente Medellín2-1Alianza FC
  • L29 OctInternacional de Bogotá3-1Independiente Medellín
  • L26 OctAtlético Nacional2-1Independiente Medellín
  • L18 OctIndependiente Medellín0-2Once Caldas
  • L15 OctAtlético Nacional3-2Independiente Medellín
  • W12 OctAmérica de Cali1-2Independiente Medellín

Standings

Fortaleza CEIF

Fortaleza CEIF

20º

Pos.

12

Pts

17

P

Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

7º

Pos.

26

Pts

17

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Fortaleza CEIF

Fortaleza CEIF

4-4-2
1
Williams Barlasina
16
Joan Cajares
15
Santiago Cuero
6
Yesid Díaz
3
David Ramírez
28
Santiago Vivas
4
Edwin Cabezas
14
Leonardo Pico
8
Sebastián Navarro
19
Franco Pulicastro
32
Mariano Vazquez

Substitutes

TW
Teun Wilke
#29 · SUB
JS
Jhon Solís
#30 · SUB
MB
Michael Barragán
#22 · SUB
JC
Juan Camilo Albornoz Caicedo
#31 · SUB
AD
Armando David Larrans Ruiz
#33 · SUB
AC
Andrés Copete
#2 · SUB
ÍM
Ítalo Montaño
#7 · SUB
JV
Jhon Velázquez
#10 · SUB
BM
Brandón Mejía
#13 · SUB
Independiente Medellín

Independiente Medellín

4-2-3-1
25
Eder Chaux
26
Esneyder Mena
18
Frank Fabra
39
Luis Escorcia
19
Alfonso Simarra
6
Didier Moreno
11
Yony González
16
Halam Loboa
10
Daniel Cataño
20
John Montaño
9
Jeison Medina

Substitutes

KK
Keiner Klinger
#34 · SUB
CG
Carlos Gonzalez
#32 · SUB
LB
Léider Berrío
#7 · SUB
SI
Salvador Ichazo
#1 · SUB
JA
Jackson Arley Martínez Valencia
#15 · SUB
JM
Jhan Mena
#13 · SUB
NE
Nivaldo Erazo
#24 · SUB
JV
Joaquín Varela
#5 · SUB
BP
Baldomero Perlaza
#14 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.