Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Tuesday, 15 September 2026 at 20:00Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Ajax Amsterdam v Willem II in the Eredivisie.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Ajax Amsterdam vs Willem II prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Ajax Amsterdam (71%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Ajax Amsterdam
71%
X · Draw
16%
2 · Willem II
12%

Expected goals

Ajax Amsterdam 2.74 · Willem II 1.10

Most likely scores

2-1 (9%) · 3-1 (8%) · 2-0 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Ajax Amsterdam went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 11.
  • Willem II went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 14.
  • At home, Ajax Amsterdam have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 2.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Willem II have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In Ajax Amsterdam's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In Willem II's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In the table, Ajax Amsterdam are 5th and Willem II 17th (10 and 2 points). Ajax Amsterdam sit 12 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Ajax Amsterdam

Ajax Amsterdam

Last 6 matches

DWWWLW

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

21-11

Goals

  • W12 SeptFortuna Sittard1-5Ajax Amsterdam
  • L5 SeptAjax Amsterdam1-3PSV Eindhoven
  • W30 AugTelstar0-4Ajax Amsterdam
  • W27 AugAjax Amsterdam5-3FC Sion
  • W20 AugFC Sion2-4Ajax Amsterdam
  • D16 AugAjax Amsterdam2-2Heerenveen
Willem II

Willem II

Last 5 matches

LLDLD

0

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

5-14

Goals

  • D11 SeptAZ Alkmaar1-1Willem II
  • L5 SeptWillem II0-3Excelsior
  • D30 AugWillem II2-2Heerenveen
  • L15 AugWillem II1-4NEC Nijmegen
  • L8 AugGo Ahead Eagles4-1Willem II

Standings

Ajax Amsterdam

Ajax Amsterdam

5º

Pos.

10

Pts

5

P

Willem II

Willem II

17º

Pos.

2

Pts

5

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Ajax Amsterdam

Ajax Amsterdam

4-3-3
26
Maarten Paes
2
Lucas Rosa
5
Owen Wijndal
6
Thilo Kehrer
15
Youri Baas
24
Jorthy Mokio
18
Davy Klaassen
8
Julian Brandt
9
Kasper Dolberg
23
Steven Berghuis
10
Oscar Gloukh

Substitutes

VT
Viktor Tsygankov
#11 · SUB
AO
Abdellah Ouazane
#68 · SUB
DJ
Dies Janse
#36 · SUB
JT
Jofre Torrents
#21 · SUB
SA
Sofyan Amrabat
#4 · SUB
AG
Anton Gaaei
#3 · SUB
MT
Marc-André ter Stegen
#1 · SUB
TA
Tolu Arokodare
#99 · SUB
ML
Marcos Leonardo
#38 · SUB
OE
Oliver Edvardsen
#20 · SUB
CH
Caio Henrique
#12 · SUB
CS
Charlie Setford
#51 · SUB
Willem II

Willem II

4-2-3-1
26
Maxime Delanghe
5
Hidde ter Avest
24
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
3
Finn Stam
23
Maxim Dekker
52
Tonny Vilhena
22
Per Van Loon
6
Calvin Twigt
19
Uriel Van Aalst
7
Jaden Slory
9
Devin Haen

Substitutes

TV
Thomas Verheydt
#28 · SUB
WV
Wouter van der Steen
#21 · SUB
CO
Chido Obi
#17 · SUB
AE
Amine Et-Taibi
#15 · SUB
KD
Karst De Leeuw
#31 · SUB
JS
Jari Schuurman
#10 · SUB
EG
Eser Gürbüz
#50 · SUB
ML
Mats Lemmens
#83 · SUB
AC
Alessandro Ciranni
#2 · SUB
AZ
Anass Zarrouk
#18 · SUB
JM
Jens Mathijsen
#14 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.