Eredivisie

Eredivisie

Friday, 11 September 2026 at 20:00AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AZ Alkmaar v Willem II in the Eredivisie.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

AZ Alkmaar vs Willem II prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: AZ Alkmaar (76%)

Small sample · 5/4 matches
1 · AZ Alkmaar
76%
X · Draw
14%
2 · Willem II
10%

Expected goals

AZ Alkmaar 2.95 · Willem II 1.03

Most likely scores

2-1 (8%) · 3-1 (8%) · 2-0 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • AZ Alkmaar went into this match with good momentum: 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 8.
  • Willem II went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 14.
  • At home, AZ Alkmaar have won 2 of their last 3 matches (3.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Willem II have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In AZ Alkmaar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Willem II's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 1st and Willem II 17th (15 and 1 points). AZ Alkmaar sit 16 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

Last 6 matches

DWWWWW

5

Wins

1

Draws

0

Losses

19-8

Goals

  • W6 SeptHeerenveen2-3AZ Alkmaar
  • W29 AugAZ Alkmaar5-2Go Ahead Eagles
  • W22 AugFortuna Sittard0-2AZ Alkmaar
  • W15 AugFC Utrecht1-4AZ Alkmaar
  • W8 AugAZ Alkmaar2-0ADO Den Haag
  • D17 MayAZ3-3NAC Breda
Willem II

Willem II

Last 5 matches

WLLDL

1

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

6-14

Goals

  • L5 SeptWillem II0-3Excelsior
  • D30 AugWillem II2-2Heerenveen
  • L15 AugWillem II1-4NEC Nijmegen
  • L8 AugGo Ahead Eagles4-1Willem II
  • W23 MayFC Volendam1-2Willem II

Standings

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

1º

Pos.

15

Pts

5

P

Willem II

Willem II

17º

Pos.

1

Pts

4

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

4-2-3-1
28
Jari De Busser
22
Elijah Dijkstra
5
Mateo Chávez
3
Wouter Goes
4
Lewis Schouten
6
Peer Koopmeiners
14
Calvin Stengs
8
Jordy Clasie
21
Dave Kwakman
11
Ro-Zangelo Daal
9
Mexx Meerdink

Substitutes

BK
Bendegúz Kovács
#18 · SUB
WP
Weslley Patati
#7 · SUB
RO
Rome-Jayden Owusu-Oduro
#1 · SUB
SM
Seiya Maikuma
#2 · SUB
JH
Jizz Hornkamp
#19 · SUB
MD
Mees De Wit
#34 · SUB
WH
Wesley Hoedt
#29 · SUB
HV
Hobie Verhulst
#12 · SUB
AO
Ayoub Oufkir
#24 · SUB
RI
Rion Ichihara
#31 · SUB
VB
Valdemar Byskov
#17 · SUB
Willem II

Willem II

4-2-3-1
26
Maxime Delanghe
5
Hidde ter Avest
24
Nathan Tjoe-A-On
3
Finn Stam
23
Maxim Dekker
52
Tonny Vilhena
22
Per Van Loon
6
Calvin Twigt
19
Uriel Van Aalst
7
Jaden Slory
9
Devin Haen

Substitutes

JM
Jens Mathijsen
#14 · SUB
AE
Amine Et-Taibi
#15 · SUB
KB
Kasper Boogaard
#8 · SUB
EG
Eser Gürbüz
#50 · SUB
AC
Alessandro Ciranni
#2 · SUB
TV
Thomas Verheydt
#28 · SUB
WV
Wouter van der Steen
#21 · SUB
CO
Chido Obi
#17 · SUB
KD
Karst De Leeuw
#31 · SUB
ML
Mats Lemmens
#83 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.