Eredivisie
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on AZ Alkmaar v FC Groningen in the Eredivisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is AZ Alkmaar, with a 57% chance of winning. It expects 2.4 goals from AZ Alkmaar and 1.5 from FC Groningen: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 69%). Both teams to score: yes at 66%. Most likely score: 2-1.
Model favourite: AZ Alkmaar (57%)
Medium sample · 15/11 matches- 1 · AZ Alkmaar
- 57%
- X · Draw
- 20%
- 2 · FC Groningen
- 23%
Expected goals
AZ Alkmaar 2.38 · FC Groningen 1.50
Most likely scores
2-1 (9%) · 1-1 (8%) · 3-1 (7%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar to score | 85% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| AZ Alkmaar or draw (1X) | 77% |
| FC Groningen to score | 72% |
| AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet) | 71% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins and over 2.5 | 46% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 2-1 | 9% |
Based on goals from each team's last 15 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- AZ Alkmaar come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
- FC Groningen come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 13.
- At home, AZ Alkmaar have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, FC Groningen have won 1 of their last 2 matches (3.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
- In AZ Alkmaar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In FC Groningen's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th and FC Groningen 8th (20 and 15 points). AZ Alkmaar sit 3 places higher.
- Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 1 win for AZ Alkmaar, 1 for FC Groningen and 0 draws, with 4.0 goals per match.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
AZ Alkmaar
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
9-8
Goals
- L5 NovAZ Alkmaar1-2Juventus
- L31 OctAjax Amsterdam1-0AZ Alkmaar
- L25 OctAZ Alkmaar0-2FC Twente
- W22 OctArarat-Armenia0-4AZ Alkmaar
- D18 OctSC Cambuur2-2AZ Alkmaar
- W15 OctAZ Alkmaar2-1Hapoel Be'er
FC Groningen
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
14-13
Goals
- L1 NovFC Groningen2-3Sparta Rotterdam
- L29 OctFC Groningen0-2FC Emmen
- D25 OctNEC Nijmegen2-2FC Groningen
- L18 OctFC Groningen2-5Ajax Amsterdam
- W11 OctExcelsior1-5FC Groningen
- W18 SeptFC Groningen3-0PEC Zwolle
Standings
AZ Alkmaar
5º
Pos.
20
Pts
11
P
FC Groningen
8º
Pos.
15
Pts
11
P
Line-ups
AZ Alkmaar
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
FC Groningen
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
FC Groningen
3 - 0
22 Mar
AZ
AZ
4 - 1
10 Aug
FC Groningen
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen: FAQ
What time is AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 8 November at 16:45 (Spain time), at AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar.
Who is the favourite in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, AZ Alkmaar are favourites, with a 57% chance of winning. Full split: AZ Alkmaar 57%, draw 20%, FC Groningen 23%. Expected goals: 2.4 - 1.5.
What is the most likely AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen score?
The most likely exact score is 2-1 (9%), followed by 1-1 (8%) and 3-1 (7%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
The model gives a 66% chance of both teams scoring and 69% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
What happened in the last AZ Alkmaar vs FC Groningen?
The last recorded meeting was on 22 Mar: FC Groningen 3-0 AZ (Eredivisie). This page lists 2 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.