Eredivisie
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on ADO Den Haag v Sparta Rotterdam in the Eredivisie.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: ADO Den Haag have a slight edge (40% against 37%) and the draw sits at 22%. It expects 1.9 goals from ADO Den Haag and 1.9 from Sparta Rotterdam: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 68%). Both teams to score: yes at 67%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: ADO Den Haag (40%)
Medium sample · 11/11 matches- 1 · ADO Den Haag
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 22%
- 2 · Sparta Rotterdam
- 37%
Expected goals
ADO Den Haag 1.93 · Sparta Rotterdam 1.85
Most likely scores
1-1 (9%) · 2-1 (8%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| ADO Den Haag to score | 79% |
| Sparta Rotterdam to score | 78% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| ADO Den Haag wins and over 2.5 | 32% |
| Sparta Rotterdam over 1.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 9% |
Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- ADO Den Haag come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 9.
- Sparta Rotterdam come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 15.
- At home, ADO Den Haag have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Sparta Rotterdam have won 1 of their last 2 matches (3.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
- In ADO Den Haag's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In Sparta Rotterdam's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 6 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, ADO Den Haag are 17th and Sparta Rotterdam 11th (6 and 12 points). Sparta Rotterdam sit 6 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
ADO Den Haag
Last 6 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
8-9
Goals
- L1 NovPEC Zwolle1-0ADO Den Haag
- L27 OctExcelsior '311-1ADO Den Haag
- L24 OctADO Den Haag2-3Heerenveen
- W17 OctADO Den Haag2-1PSV Eindhoven
- D11 OctTelstar2-2ADO Den Haag
- D19 SeptADO Den Haag1-1SC Cambuur
Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
12-15
Goals
- W1 NovFC Groningen2-3Sparta Rotterdam
- L28 OctSparta Rotterdam2-2Fortuna Sittard
- L25 OctSparta Rotterdam1-2Ajax Amsterdam
- W17 OctSparta Rotterdam3-2Willem II
- D10 OctGo Ahead Eagles3-3Sparta Rotterdam
- L19 SeptSparta Rotterdam0-4Heerenveen
Standings
ADO Den Haag
17º
Pos.
6
Pts
11
P
Sparta Rotterdam
11º
Pos.
12
Pts
11
P
Line-ups
ADO Den Haag
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Sparta Rotterdam
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: FAQ
What time is ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 7 November at 18:45 (Spain time), at ADO Den Haag Stadium, Den Haag.
Who is the favourite in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, ADO Den Haag are favourites, with a 40% chance of winning. Full split: ADO Den Haag 40%, draw 22%, Sparta Rotterdam 37%. Expected goals: 1.9 - 1.9.
What is the most likely ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (9%), followed by 2-1 (8%) and 1-2 (8%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam?
The model gives a 67% chance of both teams scoring and 68% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.