Nations League

Nations League

20:45

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Tuesday, 17 November 2026 at 20:45Parken Stadium, Copenhagen

Denmark vs Norway: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Denmark v Norway in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Denmark vs Norway prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Denmark, with a 48% chance of winning. It expects 1.8 goals from Denmark and 1.3 from Norway: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 58%). Both teams to score: yes at 59%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Denmark (48%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Denmark
48%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Norway
28%

Expected goals

Denmark 1.81 · Norway 1.33

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (7%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Denmark to score77%
Over 1.5 goals76%
Denmark or draw (1X)72%
Norway to score68%
Denmark (draw no bet)64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Denmark wins and over 2.534%
Denmark over 1.5 goals53%
Correct score 1-111%

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Denmark come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
  • Norway come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 10.
  • At home, Denmark have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Norway have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Denmark's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Norway's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 5 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Denmark

Denmark

Last 5 matches

WLWLW

3

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

9-8

Goals

  • W4 OctWales0-1Denmark
  • L1 OctDenmark2-4Portugal
  • W27 SeptDenmark2-0Wales
  • L24 SeptNorway3-2Denmark
  • W7 JunDenmark2-1Ukraine
Norway

Norway

Last 5 matches

LWLLL

1

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

7-10

Goals

  • L4 OctPortugal2-1Norway
  • L1 OctWales2-1Norway
  • L27 SeptNorway1-2Portugal
  • W24 SeptNorway3-2Denmark
  • L11 JulNorway1-2England

Line-ups

Denmark

Denmark

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Norway

Norway

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Head-to-head

Norway

3 - 2

24 Sept

Denmark

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.