Nations League
San Marino vs Belarus: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on San Marino v Belarus in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
San Marino vs Belarus prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Belarus, with a 54% chance of winning. It expects 1.0 goals from San Marino and 1.8 from Belarus: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 52%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Belarus (54%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · San Marino
- 21%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · Belarus
- 54%
Expected goals
San Marino 1.00 · Belarus 1.75
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 0-1 (10%) · 1-2 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belarus or draw (X2) | 79% |
| Belarus to score | 76% |
| Belarus (draw no bet) | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 66% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 41% |
| Belarus to win | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- San Marino come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 18.
- Belarus come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
- At home, San Marino have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 5.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Belarus have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In San Marino's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Belarus's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
San Marino
Last 5 matches
0
Wins
0
Draws
5
Losses
2-18
Goals
- L6 OctAlbania2-1San Marino
- L3 OctBelarus4-0San Marino
- L29 SeptSan Marino0-3Albania
- L26 SeptSan Marino0-7Finland
- L9 JunAzerbaijan2-1San Marino
Belarus
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
1
Losses
7-4
Goals
- W6 OctBelarus1-0Finland
- W3 OctBelarus4-0San Marino
- D29 SeptFinland0-0Belarus
- L26 SeptAlbania2-0Belarus
- D9 JunBelarus2-2Burkina Faso
Line-ups
San Marino
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Belarus
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Belarus
4 - 0
3 Oct
San Marino
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.