Nations League
Spain vs England: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Spain v England in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Spain vs England prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Spain have a slight edge (40% against 36%) and the draw sits at 24%. It expects 1.8 goals from Spain and 1.7 from England: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 63%). Both teams to score: yes at 64%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Spain (40%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Spain
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · England
- 36%
Expected goals
Spain 1.77 · England 1.68
Most likely scores
1-1 (10%) · 2-1 (8%) · 1-2 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Spain to score | 77% |
| England to score | 75% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% |
| Spain or draw (1X) | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spain wins and over 2.5 | 30% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 10% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Spain come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 5.
- England come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 20 and conceding 7.
- At home, Spain have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
- Away from home, England have won 3 of their last 3 matches (5.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- In Spain's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
- In England's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Spain
Last 5 matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
13-5
Goals
- W6 OctCroatia1-2Spain
- W3 OctSpain3-1Czechia
- W29 SeptSpain4-1Croatia
- W26 SeptEngland2-3Spain
- W19 JulSpain1-0Argentina
England
Last 5 matches
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
20-7
Goals
- W6 OctEngland3-0Czechia
- W3 OctCroatia0-7England
- W29 SeptCzechia0-2England
- L26 SeptEngland2-3Spain
- W18 JulFrance4-6England
Line-ups
Spain
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
England
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
England
2 - 3
26 Sept
Spain
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.