Nations League

Nations League

15:00

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Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 15:00Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi

Cyprus vs Montenegro: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Cyprus v Montenegro in the Nations League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: A balanced match: Cyprus have a slight edge (40% against 31%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.4 goals from Cyprus and 1.2 from Montenegro: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Cyprus (40%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Cyprus
40%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Montenegro
31%

Expected goals

Cyprus 1.35 · Montenegro 1.16

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Under 3.5 goals70%
Cyprus to score69%
Cyprus or draw (1X)69%
Over 1.5 goals67%
Montenegro to score64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.538%
Under 2.5 goals53%
Correct score 1-114%

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Cyprus come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
  • Montenegro come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Cyprus have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Montenegro have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Cyprus's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Montenegro's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Cyprus

Cyprus

Last 5 matches

WLDWW

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

7-3

Goals

  • W5 OctCyprus2-1Latvia
  • W2 OctCyprus2-0Armenia
  • D28 SeptLatvia0-0Cyprus
  • L25 SeptMontenegro2-1Cyprus
  • W7 JunLiechtenstein0-2Cyprus
Montenegro

Montenegro

Last 5 matches

DWWWD

3

Wins

2

Draws

0

Losses

9-6

Goals

  • D5 OctMontenegro0-0Armenia
  • W2 OctLatvia1-2Montenegro
  • W28 SeptArmenia2-3Montenegro
  • W25 SeptMontenegro2-1Cyprus
  • D5 JunSlovakia2-2Montenegro

Line-ups

Cyprus

Cyprus

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Montenegro

Montenegro

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Head-to-head

Montenegro

2 - 1

25 Sept

Cyprus

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.