Nations League
Cyprus vs Montenegro: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Cyprus v Montenegro in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Cyprus vs Montenegro prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Cyprus have a slight edge (40% against 31%) and the draw sits at 28%. It expects 1.4 goals from Cyprus and 1.2 from Montenegro: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 51%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Cyprus (40%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Cyprus
- 40%
- X · Draw
- 28%
- 2 · Montenegro
- 31%
Expected goals
Cyprus 1.35 · Montenegro 1.16
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (10%) · 0-0 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 70% |
| Cyprus to score | 69% |
| Cyprus or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Montenegro to score | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 38% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Cyprus come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 3.
- Montenegro come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
- At home, Cyprus have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Montenegro have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In Cyprus's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
- In Montenegro's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Cyprus
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
7-3
Goals
- W5 OctCyprus2-1Latvia
- W2 OctCyprus2-0Armenia
- D28 SeptLatvia0-0Cyprus
- L25 SeptMontenegro2-1Cyprus
- W7 JunLiechtenstein0-2Cyprus

Montenegro
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
9-6
Goals
- D5 OctMontenegro0-0Armenia
- W2 OctLatvia1-2Montenegro
- W28 SeptArmenia2-3Montenegro
- W25 SeptMontenegro2-1Cyprus
- D5 JunSlovakia2-2Montenegro
Line-ups

Cyprus
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Montenegro
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Montenegro
2 - 1
25 Sept
Cyprus
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.