Nations League
Romania vs Poland: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Romania v Poland in the Nations League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Romania vs Poland prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Poland, with a 48% chance of winning. It expects 1.2 goals from Romania and 1.7 from Poland: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Poland (48%)
Small sample · 4/4 matches- 1 · Romania
- 27%
- X · Draw
- 25%
- 2 · Poland
- 48%
Expected goals
Romania 1.22 · Poland 1.70
Most likely scores
1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (10%) · 0-1 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Poland to score | 75% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Poland or draw (X2) | 73% |
| Romania to score | 66% |
| Poland (draw no bet) | 64% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 46% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Daily analysis · Telegram
Follow Romania vs Poland on Telegram
Every day we share our analysis of the biggest matches on Telegram for free, before kick-off.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Romania come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 14.
- Poland come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
- At home, Romania have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Poland have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
- In Romania's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
- In Poland's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Romania
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
5-14
Goals
- L5 OctRomania0-1Sweden
- L2 OctPoland6-0Romania
- L28 SeptRomania2-4Bosnia-Herzegovina
- L25 SeptSweden2-1Romania
- W6 JunRomania2-1Wales
Poland
Last 5 matches
1
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
9-6
Goals
- L5 OctBosnia-Herzegovina1-0Poland
- W2 OctPoland6-0Romania
- L28 SeptSweden3-1Poland
- D25 SeptPoland0-0Bosnia-Herzegovina
- D3 JunPoland2-2Nigeria
Line-ups
Romania
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Poland
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Head-to-head
Poland
6 - 0
2 Oct
Romania
MBet España · Telegram
Free daily analysis on Telegram
Join MBet: daily analysis, line-up alerts and the track record of our predictions.
18+ · Gamble responsibly
Keep browsing
More Nations League matches
Türkiye vs Belgium
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 18:00
Armenia vs Cyprus
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 18:00
San Marino vs Belarus
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 20:45
Albania vs Finland
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 20:45
England vs Croatia
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 20:45
Montenegro vs Latvia
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 20:45
MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.