Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 00:30Arena Condá, Chapecó

Chapecoense vs Fluminense: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Chapecoense v Fluminense in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Chapecoense vs Fluminense prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Fluminense (49%)

Large sample · 13/19 matches
1 · Chapecoense
26%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Fluminense
49%

Expected goals

Chapecoense 1.15 · Fluminense 1.66

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (10%) · 0-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 19 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Chapecoense went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
  • Fluminense went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Chapecoense have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Fluminense have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Chapecoense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Fluminense's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

Last 6 matches

WLDLLL

1

Wins

1

Draws

4

Losses

5-13

Goals

  • L17 OctBotafogo1-0Chapecoense
  • L13 OctChapecoense1-4Athletico-PR
  • L8 OctVitória4-0Chapecoense
  • D19 SeptAtlético-MG1-1Chapecoense
  • L12 SeptChapecoense1-2Internacional
  • W7 SeptCorinthians1-2Chapecoense
Fluminense

Fluminense

Last 6 matches

WWLLLW

3

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

10-6

Goals

  • W22 OctPalmeiras0-1Fluminense
  • L18 OctFluminense1-2Santos
  • L15 OctFluminense1-2Palmeiras
  • L11 OctFlamengo1-0Fluminense
  • W9 OctFluminense4-0Coritiba
  • W20 SeptCorinthians1-3Fluminense

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Chapecoense

Chapecoense

4-2-3-1
98
Anderson Paixão
20
Bruno
91
Bruno Pacheco
3
Eduardo Doma
4
João Paulo
88
Yago Felipe
7
Marcinho
27
Camilo
10
Giovanni Augusto
31
Maurício Garcez
11
Yannick Bolasie

Substitutes

RE
Rodrigo Endrio Azevedo Tiago
#39 · SUB
M
Max
#22 · SUB
D
Dudu
#23 · SUB
TE
Túlio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
#9 · SUB
FR
Franco Rossi
#29 · SUB
D
David
#19 · SUB
MC
Miguel Carvalho
#80 · SUB
F
Fernando
#12 · SUB
BM
Bruno Matias
#16 · SUB
KR
Kevin Ramírez
#94 · SUB
RT
Rafael Thyere
#15 · SUB
M
Matheus
#30 · SUB
Fluminense

Fluminense

4-2-3-1
1
Fábio
23
Guga
13
Guilherme Arana
4
Ignácio
21
Igor Rabello
35
Hércules
34
Wesley Natã
16
Nonato
10
Ganso
90
Kevin Serna
7
Hulk

Substitutes

R
René
#6 · SUB
VE
Vitor Eudes
#98 · SUB
AC
Agustín Canobbio
#17 · SUB
RC
Rodrigo Castillo
#19 · SUB
LA
Luciano Acosta
#32 · SUB
GC
Germán Cano
#14 · SUB
RS
Ruan Sales
#41 · SUB
R
Riquelme
#28 · SUB
SX
Samuel Xavier
#2 · SUB
TS
Thiago Silva
#3 · SUB
JF
Juan Freytes
#22 · SUB
O
Otávio
#94 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.