Brasileirão

Brasileirão

1-0

Full-time
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 at 01:00Estadio Manoel Barradas, Salvador

Vitória vs Grêmio: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vitória v Grêmio in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Vitória vs Grêmio prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Grêmio (36%)

Medium sample · 8/8 matches
1 · Vitória
34%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Grêmio
36%

Expected goals

Vitória 1.13 · Grêmio 1.17

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 0-1 (11%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Vitória went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 9.
  • Grêmio went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Vitória have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Grêmio have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Vitória's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 1 of 6.
  • In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Vitória

Vitória

Last 6 matches

LWLLLL

1

Wins

0

Draws

5

Losses

2-9

Goals

  • L3 SeptVitória0-2Vasco da Gama
  • L29 AugAtlético-MG2-1Vitória
  • L27 AugVasco da Gama1-0Vitória
  • L23 AugVitória0-2Bahia
  • W16 AugVitória1-0Botafogo
  • L10 AugFlamengo2-0Vitória
Grêmio

Grêmio

Last 6 matches

WLLDWW

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

8-7

Goals

  • W4 SeptGrêmio3-1Internacional
  • W30 AugGrêmio3-1Chapecoense
  • D28 AugInternacional0-0Grêmio
  • L23 AugRed Bull Bragantino1-0Grêmio
  • L16 AugAtlético-MG3-0Grêmio
  • W8 AugGrêmio2-1São Paulo

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Vitória

Vitória

4-2-3-1
1
Lucas Arcanjo
98
Matheusinho
83
Jamerson
2
Emanuel Britez
36
Luan Cândido
88
Zé Vitor
33
Erick
95
Caique
10
Matheus
12
Diego Tarzia
91
Renê

Substitutes

O
Osvaldo
#11 · SUB
RK
Renato Kayzer
#79 · SUB
KS
Kauan Santos
#18 · SUB
W
Wanderson
#69 · SUB
FS
Fabrício Santos
#23 · SUB
M
Marinho
#7 · SUB
TP
Tomás Pochettino
#8 · SUB
F
Fabiano
#70 · SUB
WS
Wendell Sacramento
#41 · SUB
E
Edenilson
#26 · SUB
YS
Yuri Sena
#71 · SUB
AB
Alex Bruno Da Costa Lima
#9 · SUB
Grêmio

Grêmio

4-1-4-1
1
Weverton
27
Diego Caito
54
Pedro Gabriel
6
Gustavo Martins
82
Wallace
8
Erick Noriega
11
Mateus Tetê
20
Mathías Villasanti
10
Filip Krovinovic
7
Cristian Pavón
95
Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes

GG
Gabriel Grando
#12 · SUB
RF
Riquelme Freitas
#65 · SUB
JE
José Enamorado
#99 · SUB
JP
João Pedro
#18 · SUB
FB
Fabián Balbuena
#2 · SUB
DB
Danilo Barbosa
#15 · SUB
MB
Martin Braithwaite
#22 · SUB
BZ
Bernardo Zortea
#50 · SUB
MN
Matheus Nascimento
#30 · SUB
JN
Juan Nardoni
#5 · SUB
WL
Wagner Leonardo
#3 · SUB
CP
Caio Paulista
#38 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.