Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 21:00Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte

Atlético-MG vs Grêmio: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Atlético-MG v Grêmio in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Atlético-MG vs Grêmio prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Atlético-MG (50%)

Small sample · 4/5 matches
1 · Atlético-MG
50%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Grêmio
24%

Expected goals

Atlético-MG 1.65 · Grêmio 1.08

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Atlético-MG went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 4.
  • Grêmio went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Atlético-MG have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Grêmio have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Atlético-MG's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

Last 6 matches

DWDWDW

3

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

7-4

Goals

  • W13 AugRed Bull Bragantino0-1Atlético-MG
  • D8 AugRemo2-2Atlético-MG
  • W5 AugJuventude0-1Atlético-MG
  • D2 AugAtlético-MG0-0Juventude
  • W27 JulPalmeiras1-2Atlético-MG
  • D22 JulAtlético-MG1-1Bahia
Grêmio

Grêmio

Last 6 matches

LDLDWW

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

7-7

Goals

  • W8 AugGrêmio2-1São Paulo
  • W6 AugGrêmio1-0Mirassol
  • D2 AugMirassol1-1Grêmio
  • L31 JulGrêmio0-1Bolívar
  • D26 JulGrêmio1-1Fluminense
  • L24 JulBolívar3-2Grêmio

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Atlético-MG

Atlético-MG

4-2-3-1
22
Éverson
23
Ángelo Preciado
6
Renan Lodi
4
Ruan
14
Vitor Hugo
21
Alan Franco
28
Tomás Cuello
39
Mamady Cissé
30
Victor Hugo
17
Igor Gomes
9
Mateo Casierra

Substitutes

AM
Alan Minda
#27 · SUB
M
Maycon
#8 · SUB
B
Bernard
#11 · SUB
GD
Gabriel Delfim
#1 · SUB
R
Reiner
#19 · SUB
D
Dudu
#92 · SUB
KP
Kauã Pascini
#36 · SUB
TB
Thiago Borbas
#18 · SUB
TP
Tomás Pérez
#25 · SUB
KC
Kevin Castaño
#15 · SUB
V
Vitão
#40 · SUB
N
Natanael
#2 · SUB
Grêmio

Grêmio

4-1-4-1
1
Weverton
27
Diego Caito
54
Pedro Gabriel
6
Gustavo Martins
82
Wallace
8
Erick Noriega
7
Cristian Pavón
5
Juan Nardoni
17
Dodi
9
Francis Amuzu
95
Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes

MR
Marcos Rocha
#14 · SUB
JC
Jovane Cabral
#77 · SUB
MB
Martin Braithwaite
#22 · SUB
GM
Gabriel Mec
#37 · SUB
MT
Mateus Tetê
#21 · SUB
FK
Filip Krovinovic
#10 · SUB
GG
Gabriel Grando
#12 · SUB
JE
José Enamorado
#99 · SUB
WL
Wagner Leonardo
#3 · SUB
WK
Wálter Kannemann
#4 · SUB
BZ
Bernardo Zortea
#50 · SUB
CP
Caio Paulista
#38 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.