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Sunday, 9 August 2026 at 21:00Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Bahia v Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Bahia vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Bahia (43%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches
1 · Bahia
43%
X · Draw
30%
2 · Vasco da Gama
27%

Expected goals

Bahia 1.29 · Vasco da Gama 0.95

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Bahia went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 3.
  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Bahia have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vasco da Gama have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Bahia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Bahia

Bahia

Last 5 matches

WWDDD

2

Wins

3

Draws

0

Losses

6-3

Goals

  • D30 JulFluminense0-0Bahia
  • D26 JulBahia1-1Corinthians
  • D22 JulAtlético-MG1-1Bahia
  • W18 JulBahia2-0Chapecoense
  • W30 MayBahia2-1Botafogo
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 6 matches

LDDWDW

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

7-5

Goals

  • W6 AugFluminense1-3Vasco da Gama
  • D1 AugVasco da Gama0-0Fluminense
  • W30 JulVasco da Gama1-0Independiente Medellín
  • D26 JulVasco da Gama1-1Mirassol
  • D23 JulIndependiente Medellín2-2Vasco da Gama
  • L17 JulVitória1-0Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Bahia

Bahia

4-4-2
1
Ronaldo
31
Román Gómez
46
Luciano Juba
33
David Duarte
21
Santiago Ramos
5
Nicolás Acevedo
7
Ademir
6
Jean Lucas
11
Rodrigo Nestor
9
Alejo Veliz
12
Willian José

Substitutes

ZG
Zé Guilherme
#66 · SUB
DM
David Martins
#63 · SUB
CA
Caio Alexandre
#8 · SUB
E
Everaldo
#27 · SUB
KF
Kaue Furquim
#57 · SUB
MS
Mateo Sanabria
#23 · SUB
CO
Cristian Olivera
#99 · SUB
GH
Guido Herrera
#17 · SUB
MV
Marcos Victor
#44 · SUB
K
Kanu
#4 · SUB
MM
Marco Moreno
#3 · SUB
MA
Michel Araújo
#15 · SUB
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-2-3-1
1
Léo Jardim
96
Paulo Henrique
66
Cuiabano
46
Carlos Cuesta
30
Robert
8
Jair
28
Adson
3
Tchê Tchê
23
Thiago Mendes
7
David
20
Brenner

Substitutes

RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
CB
Cauan Barros
#88 · SUB
W
Walace
#64 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
CS
Claudio Spinelli
#77 · SUB
AS
Alan Saldivia
#4 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
LP
Lucas Piton
#6 · SUB
MH
Marino Hinestroza
#18 · SUB
JR
Johan Rojas
#10 · SUB
JL
José Luis Rodríguez
#2 · SUB
P
Pablo
#37 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.