Brasileirão

Brasileirão

2-1

Full-time
Saturday, 8 August 2026 at 21:00Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

Grêmio vs São Paulo: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Grêmio v São Paulo in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Grêmio vs São Paulo prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Grêmio (41%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches
1 · Grêmio
41%
X · Draw
29%
2 · São Paulo
30%

Expected goals

Grêmio 1.29 · São Paulo 1.08

Most likely scores

1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Grêmio went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 8.
  • São Paulo went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Grêmio have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, São Paulo have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Grêmio's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Grêmio

Grêmio

Last 6 matches

LLDLDW

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

6-8

Goals

  • W6 AugGrêmio1-0Mirassol
  • D2 AugMirassol1-1Grêmio
  • L31 JulGrêmio0-1Bolívar
  • D26 JulGrêmio1-1Fluminense
  • L24 JulBolívar3-2Grêmio
  • L18 JulMirassol2-1Grêmio
São Paulo

São Paulo

Last 5 matches

DWLLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

5-5

Goals

  • D26 JulFlamengo1-1São Paulo
  • L23 JulSão Paulo1-2Athletico-PR
  • L1 JunRemo1-0São Paulo
  • W27 MaySão Paulo2-0Boston River
  • D23 MaySão Paulo1-1Botafogo

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Grêmio

Grêmio

4-1-4-1
1
Weverton
27
Diego Caito
23
Marlon
6
Gustavo Martins
82
Wallace
19
Erick Noriega
7
Cristian Pavón
20
Mathías Villasanti
5
Juan Nardoni
77
Jovane Cabral
95
Carlos Vinícius

Substitutes

MB
Martin Braithwaite
#22 · SUB
GM
Gabriel Mec
#37 · SUB
JE
José Enamorado
#99 · SUB
WK
Wálter Kannemann
#4 · SUB
GG
Gabriel Grando
#12 · SUB
FA
Francis Amuzu
#9 · SUB
LP
Leonel Pérez
#33 · SUB
WL
Wagner Leonardo
#3 · SUB
D
Dodi
#17 · SUB
MR
Marcos Rocha
#14 · SUB
MN
Matheus Nascimento
#30 · SUB
CP
Caio Paulista
#38 · SUB
São Paulo

São Paulo

4-2-3-1
23
Rafael
19
Lucas Ramon
18
Wendell
5
Robert Arboleda
54
Luis Osorio
29
Pablo Maia
8
Marcos Antonio
94
Danielzinho
10
Luciano
11
Ferreira
9
Jonathan Calleri

Substitutes

T
Tetê
#34 · SUB
C
Cauly
#80 · SUB
DD
Domingos Duarte
#22 · SUB
JV
Joao Victor
#27 · SUB
N
Newton
#28 · SUB
DB
Damián Bobadilla
#16 · SUB
I
Iago
#12 · SUB
GS
Gustavo Santana
#43 · SUB
S
Sabino
#35 · SUB
B
Buta
#20 · SUB
AO
André Oliveira
#17 · SUB
CC
Carlos Coronel
#31 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.