Brasileirão

1-1

Full-time

Coritiba

Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 02:00Estádio Cícero Pompeu de Toledo, Sao Paulo

São Paulo vs Coritiba: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on São Paulo v Coritiba in the Brasileirão.

Data updated: Friday, 6 November 2026 at 20:34

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MBet statistical model

São Paulo vs Coritiba prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: São Paulo (45%)

Small sample · 4/4 matches

1 · São Paulo: 45%
X · Draw: 28%
2 · Coritiba: 27%

Expected goals

São Paulo 1.43 · Coritiba 1.07

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (11%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 4 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

São Paulo went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
Coritiba went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 5.
In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 4 of 4.
In Coritiba's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 2 of 4.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

São Paulo

Last 4 matches

LDLD

Wins

Draws

Losses

4-6

Goals

D12 AugBolívar1-1São Paulo
L8 AugGrêmio2-1São Paulo
D26 JulFlamengo1-1São Paulo
L23 JulSão Paulo1-2Athletico-PR

Coritiba

Last 4 matches

LDLW

Wins

Draws

Losses

3-5

Goals

W9 AugCoritiba2-1Chapecoense
L31 JulCoritiba0-1Cruzeiro
D26 JulRed Bull Bragantino0-0Coritiba
L23 JulCoritiba1-3Palmeiras

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

São Paulo

4-2-3-1

Rafael

Lucas Ramon

Wendell

Robert Arboleda

Domingos Duarte

Pablo Maia

Marcos Antonio

Newton

Luciano

Joao Victor

Jonathan Calleri

Substitutes

Djhordney Ferreira

#48 · SUB

Gustavo Santana

#43 · SUB

Iago

#12 · SUB

Artur

#37 · SUB

Carlos Coronel

#31 · SUB

Luis Osorio

#54 · SUB

Buta

#20 · SUB

Cauly

#80 · SUB

Ferreira

#11 · SUB

Ryan Francisco

#49 · SUB

Sabino

#35 · SUB

Danielzinho

#94 · SUB

Coritiba

4-2-3-1

Pedro Luccas

Tinga

Bruno Melo

Tiago

Jacy Maranhão

Sebastián Gómez

Joaquín Lavega

Thiago Santos

Fernando Sobral

Breno

Pedro Rocha

Substitutes

Felipe Jonatan

#6 · SUB

João Pedro Chermont

#44 · SUB

David Alves

#33 · SUB

Paulo Roberto

#18 · SUB

Tissi

#50 · SUB

Fabinho

#28 · SUB

Keiller

#13 · SUB

Keno

#20 · SUB

Maicon

#3 · SUB

Renato Marques

#78 · SUB

Vini Paulista

#36 · SUB

Rodrigo Moledo

#4 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.