Brasileirão

Brasileirão

Sunday, 16 August 2026 at 21:00Estádio São Januário, Rio de Janeiro

Vasco da Gama vs Santos: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vasco da Gama v Santos in the Brasileirão.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Vasco da Gama vs Santos prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Vasco da Gama (41%)

Small sample · 6/6 matches
1 · Vasco da Gama
41%
X · Draw
28%
2 · Santos
31%

Expected goals

Vasco da Gama 1.38 · Santos 1.18

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 2.
  • Santos went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Vasco da Gama have won 1 of their last 4 matches (0.5 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In Santos's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 6 matches

DWDWDD

2

Wins

4

Draws

0

Losses

5-2

Goals

  • D14 AugVasco da Gama0-0Club Olimpia
  • D9 AugBahia0-0Vasco da Gama
  • W6 AugFluminense1-3Vasco da Gama
  • D1 AugVasco da Gama0-0Fluminense
  • W30 JulVasco da Gama1-0Independiente Medellín
  • D26 JulVasco da Gama1-1Mirassol
Santos

Santos

Last 6 matches

DWDWLW

3

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

9-7

Goals

  • W14 AugSantos2-1Macará
  • L9 AugSantos0-2Athletico-PR
  • W5 AugRemo0-1Santos
  • D2 AugSantos0-0Remo
  • W29 JulSantos4-2UCV FC
  • D25 JulSantos2-2Chapecoense

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-2-3-1
1
Léo Jardim
96
Paulo Henrique
6
Lucas Piton
46
Carlos Cuesta
30
Robert
23
Thiago Mendes
11
Andrés Gómez
8
Jair
3
Tchê Tchê
9
Facundo Colidio
77
Claudio Spinelli

Substitutes

SS
Santiago Sosa
#5 · SUB
NM
Nuno Moreira
#17 · SUB
D
David
#7 · SUB
MH
Marino Hinestroza
#18 · SUB
JR
Johan Rojas
#10 · SUB
A
Adson
#28 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
CB
Cauan Barros
#88 · SUB
JL
José Luis Rodríguez
#2 · SUB
LF
Lucas Freitas
#43 · SUB
RR
Ramon Rique
#83 · SUB
RA
Riquelme Avellar
#82 · SUB
Santos

Santos

4-2-3-1
77
Gabriel Brazão
18
Igor
31
Gonzalo Escobar
15
Willian Arão
14
Luan Peres
5
João Schmidt
17
Gustavo Caballero
28
Christian Oliva
10
Neymar
22
Álvaro Barreal
9
Gabriel Barbosa

Substitutes

T
Thaciano
#16 · SUB
JA
João Alencar
#42 · SUB
R
Rony
#11 · SUB
JP
João Paulo
#34 · SUB
D
Diogenes
#1 · SUB
BR
Benjamín Rollheiser
#32 · SUB
D
Davizinho
#27 · SUB
MT
Miguel Terceros
#30 · SUB
JA
João Ananias
#26 · SUB
RJ
Robinho Junior
#7 · SUB
SM
Samuel Mendes
#81 · SUB
GH
Gustavo Henrique
#48 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.