Segunda División
· Regular Season - 7
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Oviedo v Sporting Gijon in the Segunda División.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Oviedo, with a 42% chance of winning. It expects 1.3 goals from Oviedo and 1.0 from Sporting Gijon: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 58%). Both teams to score: yes at 47%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Oviedo (42%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · Oviedo
- 42%
- X · Draw
- 30%
- 2 · Sporting Gijon
- 28%
Expected goals
Oviedo 1.27 · Sporting Gijon 0.99
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (13%) · 0-0 (11%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 75% |
| Oviedo or draw (1X) | 72% |
| Oviedo to score | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Oviedo (draw no bet) | 60% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 32% |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Oviedo come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4.
- Sporting Gijon come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 4.
- At home, Oviedo have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Sporting Gijon have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Oviedo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
- In Sporting Gijon's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Oviedo
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
5-4
Goals
- L20 SeptSabadell3-1Oviedo
- W13 SeptReal Valladolid0-3Oviedo
- D6 SeptOviedo0-0Burgos
- W29 AugAlbacete0-1Oviedo
- L22 AugOviedo0-1Leganés
Sporting Gijon
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
5-4
Goals
- W19 SeptFC Andorra1-3Sporting Gijon
- L13 SeptSporting Gijon0-1Eldense
- L5 SeptSporting Gijon0-2Girona
- W28 AugTenerife0-1Sporting Gijon
- W23 AugSporting Gijon1-0Burgos
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.
Oviedo
Substitutes
Sporting Gijon
Substitutes
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon: FAQ
What time is Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon (Segunda División) kicks off on Sunday 27 September at 21:00 (Spain time), at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo.
Who is the favourite in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Oviedo are favourites, with a 42% chance of winning. Full split: Oviedo 42%, draw 30%, Sporting Gijon 28%. Expected goals: 1.3 - 1.0.
What is the most likely Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (13%) and 0-0 (11%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Oviedo vs Sporting Gijon?
The model gives a 47% chance of both teams scoring and 42% of over 2.5 goals. There is a real chance one side keeps a clean sheet.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.