Segunda División

· Regular Season - 7

Girona

20:30

Preview

Albacete

Friday, 25 September 2026 at 20:30Estadi Montilivi, GironaReferee: Saul Ais Reig

Girona vs Albacete: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Girona v Albacete in the Segunda División.

Data updated: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 00:16

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MBet statistical model

Girona vs Albacete prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Girona, with a 57% chance of winning. It expects 1.9 goals from Girona and 1.0 from Albacete: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Girona: 57%
X · Draw: 23%
2 · Albacete: 19%

Expected goals

Girona 1.90 · Albacete 1.02

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (10%) · 2-0 (10%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Girona or draw (1X)	81%
Girona to score	79%
Girona (draw no bet)	75%
Over 1.5 goals	73%
Under 3.5 goals	63%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
BTTS and over 2.5	44%
Girona over 1.5 goals	55%
Correct score 1-1	11%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Girona come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
Albacete come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 8.
At home, Girona have won 1 of their last 2 matches (3.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, Albacete have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
In Girona's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
In Albacete's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Girona

Last 5 matches

LWWLW

Wins

Draws

Losses

11-7

Goals

W19 SeptCádiz1-2Girona
L12 SeptGirona1-2Castellón
W5 SeptSporting Gijón0-2Girona
W29 AugGirona5-2Las Palmas
L21 AugCórdoba2-1Girona

Albacete

Last 5 matches

LLLDL

Wins

Draws

Losses

3-8

Goals

L18 SeptAlbacete1-2Córdoba
D12 SeptGranada1-1Albacete
L6 SeptCastellón2-0Albacete
L29 AugAlbacete0-1Real Oviedo
L22 AugAlbacete1-2Real Sociedad II

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Girona

4-2-3-1

Paulo Gazzaniga

Javier Boñar

Álex Moreno

David López

Alejandro Francés

Izan González

Carles Pérez

Ivan Ruiz Morante

Donny van de Beek

Javier Sarasa

Abel Ruiz

Substitutes

Unai Hernandez

#30 · SUB

Mateu Morey

#3 · SUB

Mohammed Hamony

#35 · SUB

Abdul Mumin

#2 · SUB

Portu

#10 · SUB

Mauro Furtado

#33 · SUB

Sergi Puig

#1 · SUB

Guillem Badía Gutiérrez

#39 · SUB

Jordi Danso

#44 · SUB

Juan Arango

#32 · SUB

Gibert Jordana

#28 · SUB

Albacete

4-4-2

Carlos Marín

Fran Gamez

Agus Medina

Lluis López

Carlos Neva

Antonio Pacheco Ruiz

José Corpas

Javi Villar

Víctor Valverde Da Silva

Álex Rubio

Mario Soberón

Substitutes

Diego Rodríguez Rivas

#38 · SUB

Tomás Inglés

#33 · SUB

Roberto González

#10 · SUB

Higinio Marín

#12 · SUB

Vicente Vidal

#34 · SUB

Daniel Bernabeu

#27 · SUB

Agustín Albarracín

#32 · SUB

Joaquín Domingo

#40 · SUB

Diego Mariño

#13 · SUB

Ortu

#18 · SUB

Girona vs Albacete: FAQ

What time is Girona vs Albacete?

Girona vs Albacete (Segunda División) kicks off on Friday 25 September at 20:30 (Spain time), at Estadi Montilivi, Girona.

Who is the favourite in Girona vs Albacete?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Girona are favourites, with a 57% chance of winning. Full split: Girona 57%, draw 23%, Albacete 19%. Expected goals: 1.9 - 1.0.

What is the most likely Girona vs Albacete score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (11%), followed by 2-1 (10%) and 2-0 (10%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.