Nations League

· League B - 1

Georgia

18:00

Preview

Northern Ireland

Friday, 25 September 2026 at 18:00Referee: Orel Grinfeld

Georgia vs Northern Ireland: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Georgia v Northern Ireland in the Nations League.

Data updated: Monday, 9 November 2026 at 04:17

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MBet statistical model

Georgia vs Northern Ireland prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Georgia, with a 48% chance of winning. It expects 1.5 goals from Georgia and 1.0 from Northern Ireland: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Georgia: 48%
X · Draw: 28%
2 · Northern Ireland: 24%

Expected goals

Georgia 1.48 · Northern Ireland 0.99

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 2-0 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Georgia or draw (1X)	76%
Georgia to score	71%
Under 3.5 goals	71%
Over 1.5 goals	66%
Georgia (draw no bet)	66%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
BTTS and over 2.5	36%
Under 2.5 goals	54%
Correct score 1-1	13%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Georgia come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 5.
Northern Ireland come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 6.
At home, Georgia have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, Northern Ireland have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
In Georgia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
In Northern Ireland's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Georgia

Last 5 matches

LDWDW

Wins

Draws

Losses

8-5

Goals

W5 JunGeorgia2-0Bahrain
D2 JunGeorgia1-1Romania
W29 MarLithuania0-2Georgia
D26 MarGeorgia2-2Israel
L18 NovBulgaria2-1Georgia

Northern Ireland

Last 5 matches

WLDWL

Wins

Draws

Losses

4-6

Goals

L8 JunFrance3-1Northern Ireland
W4 JunNorthern Ireland1-0Guinea
D31 MarWales1-1Northern Ireland
L26 MarItaly2-0Northern Ireland
W17 NovNorthern Ireland1-0Luxembourg

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Georgia

3-4-2-1

Giorgi Mamardashvili

Luka Lochoshvili

Lasha Dvali

Saba Goglichidze

Otar Kakabadze

Saba Kharebashvili

Giorgi Kochorashvili

Anzor Mekvabishvili

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia

Giorgi Kvernadze

Georges Mikautadze

Substitutes

Giorgi Chakvetadze

#10 · SUB

Irakli Yegoian

#18 · SUB

Giorgi Gagua

#20 · SUB

Budu Zivzivadze

#11 · SUB

Davit Kereselidze

#12 · SUB

Ilia Beriashvili

#13 · SUB

Otar Kiteishvili

#8 · SUB

Zuriko Davitashvili

#9 · SUB

Giorgi Tsitaishvili

#19 · SUB

Luka Gugeshashvili

#23 · SUB

Jemal Tabidze

#21 · SUB

Gizo Mamageishvili

#15 · SUB

Northern Ireland

3-4-2-1

Pierce Charles

Ciaron Brown

Danny Ballard

Tom Atcheson

Trai Hume

Justin Devenny

Shea Charles

Ethan Galbraith

Jamie Donley

Patrick Kelly

Isaac Price

Substitutes

Ceadach O’Neill

#9 · SUB

Ruairi McConville

#15 · SUB

Jordan Thompson

#6 · SUB

Paddy McNair

#17 · SUB

Callum Marshall

#8 · SUB

Josh Magennis

#21 · SUB

Kieran Morrison

#13 · SUB

Terry Devlin

#2 · SUB

Conor Hazard

#12 · SUB

Bailey Peacock-Farrell

#23 · SUB

Paul Smyth

#11 · SUB

Brodie Spencer

#20 · SUB

Georgia vs Northern Ireland: FAQ

What time is Georgia vs Northern Ireland?

Georgia vs Northern Ireland (Nations League) kicks off on Friday 25 September at 18:00 (Spain time).

Who is the favourite in Georgia vs Northern Ireland?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Georgia are favourites, with a 48% chance of winning. Full split: Georgia 48%, draw 28%, Northern Ireland 24%. Expected goals: 1.5 - 1.0.

What is the most likely Georgia vs Northern Ireland score?

The most likely exact score is 1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (12%) and 2-0 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.