Copa del Rey
Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Portugalete v Real Unión Irun in the Copa del Rey.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: A balanced match: Portugalete have a slight edge (41% against 31%) and the draw sits at 29%. It expects 1.3 goals from Portugalete and 1.1 from Real Unión Irun: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 50%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Portugalete (41%)
Small sample · 5/5 matches- 1 · Portugalete
- 41%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Real Unión Irun
- 31%
Expected goals
Portugalete 1.33 · Real Unión Irun 1.12
Most likely scores
1-1 (14%) · 1-0 (11%) · 0-0 (9%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 71% |
| Portugalete or draw (1X) | 69% |
| Portugalete to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Real Unión Irun to score | 63% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 37% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 14% |
Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Portugalete come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 5.
- Real Unión Irun come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
- At home, Portugalete have won 3 of their last 5 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- In Portugalete's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
- In Real Unión Irun's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Portugalete
Last 5 matches
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
5-5
Goals
- W14 AugPortugalete2-0Barakaldo
- L2 DecPortugalete0-3Alavés
- W29 OctPortugalete1-0Real Valladolid
- L6 JanPortugalete1-2Levante
- W15 DecPortugalete1-0Ponferradina
Real Unión Irun
Last 5 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
2
Losses
7-6
Goals
- W12 AugReal Unión Irun3-0Osasuna II
- D8 AugReal Unión Irun1-1Eibar
- L20 DecReal Unión Irun0-1Mallorca
- W13 NovReal Unión Irun3-2Cádiz
- L2 DecCristo Atletico2-0Real Unión Irun
Line-ups
Portugalete
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Real Unión Irun
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun: FAQ
What time is Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun?
Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun (Copa del Rey) kicks off on Wednesday 18 November at 19:00 (Spain time), at La Florida, Portugalete.
Who is the favourite in Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun?
According to the MBet AI statistical model, Portugalete are favourites, with a 41% chance of winning. Full split: Portugalete 41%, draw 29%, Real Unión Irun 31%. Expected goals: 1.3 - 1.1.
What is the most likely Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun score?
The most likely exact score is 1-1 (14%), followed by 1-0 (11%) and 0-0 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.
Will both teams score in Portugalete vs Real Unión Irun?
The model gives a 50% chance of both teams scoring and 46% of over 2.5 goals. Goals at both ends are expected.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.