Copa del Rey

Copa del Rey

3-3

FT (penalties)
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 18:00Los Pajaritos, Soria

Numancia vs Real Oviedo: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Numancia v Real Oviedo in the Copa del Rey.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Numancia vs Real Oviedo prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Numancia (40%)

Small sample · 5/6 matches
1 · Numancia
40%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Real Oviedo
34%

Expected goals

Numancia 1.54 · Real Oviedo 1.41

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Numancia went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
  • Real Oviedo went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11.
  • At home, Numancia have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Real Oviedo have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
  • In Numancia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Real Oviedo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Numancia

Numancia

Last 5 matches

LLLWL

1

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

6-7

Goals

  • L2 DecNumancia2-3Mallorca
  • W29 OctNumancia3-0Arenas Club
  • L30 OctNumancia0-1Sporting Gijón
  • L27 JulAtlético Madrid1-1Numancia
  • L24 AugNumancia0-2Atlético Madrid
Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo

Last 6 matches

LWLWWD

3

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

11-11

Goals

  • D24 OctAlmería2-2Real Oviedo
  • W18 OctCeuta1-2Real Oviedo
  • W12 OctReal Oviedo3-1Eibar
  • L2 OctEldense4-1Real Oviedo
  • W27 SeptReal Oviedo2-0Sporting Gijón
  • L20 SeptCD Sabadell3-1Real Oviedo

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Numancia

Numancia

4-4-2
13
Guillermo Súnico Alonso
22
Marcos Lopes Marqués
27
Sebastián Alejandro Flores
5
Fran González
23
Borja López
14
Cesar Moreno
18
Pablo Cortés
4
Pelayo Suarez
17
Aitor Aranzabe
6
Luis Roldán
19
Iker León Gutiérrez

Substitutes

JF
Jaime Fernández Lafuente
#31 · SUB
MF
Marcos Fernández
#3 · SUB
IM
Iván Martínez
#1 · SUB
CM
Christian Matesanz Crespo
#28 · SUB
HT
Hugo Torondel García
#16 · SUB
AA
Amin Abaradan
#10 · SUB
RR
Rafa Roldán
#2 · SUB
JD
Jorge Domínguez Martínez
#20 · SUB
JG
Jonatan González Crespo
#9 · SUB
VC
Víctor Charlez Romeo
#11 · SUB
JL
Jean Lauture
#12 · SUB
MM
Mouhamadou Moustapha Gning
#8 · SUB
Real Oviedo

Real Oviedo

4-4-2
1
Miguel Narváez
15
Samu Rodríguez
21
David Jiménez
23
Carlos Domínguez
30
Marco Esteban
16
Aritz Aldasoro
28
Diego Menéndez
6
Daniel Villahermosa
11
Jacobo González
18
Víctor García Mingo
17
Estanis Pedrola

Substitutes

MS
Mate Sauri
#26 · SUB
NV
Nacho Vidal
#22 · SUB
PS
Pablo Sáenz
#20 · SUB
AM
Alexandru Mihai Isfan
#24 · SUB
AR
Alberto Reina
#10 · SUB
DC
Dani Calvo
#12 · SUB
EP
Enzo Pérez Miranda
#32 · SUB
EC
Enzo Cazorla Santirso
#34 · SUB
IC
Ilyas Chaira
#7 · SUB
JL
José Luis Morales
#25 · SUB
XV
Xavi Vicente Jimenez
#35 · SUB
MG
Mikel Goti
#8 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.