International friendlies

International friendlies

0-0

Full-time
Monday, 5 October 2026 at 18:00Stade Amahoro, Kigali

Rwanda vs Kenya: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Rwanda v Kenya in the International friendlies.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Rwanda vs Kenya prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Rwanda (42%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Rwanda
42%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Kenya
31%

Expected goals

Rwanda 1.44 · Kenya 1.20

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 2-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Rwanda went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 5.
  • Kenya went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 3.
  • At home, Rwanda have won 3 of their last 3 matches (3.0 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Kenya have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Rwanda's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Kenya's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Rwanda

Rwanda

Last 5 matches

LWWWW

4

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

11-5

Goals

  • W29 SeptCape Verde1-2Rwanda
  • W25 SeptRwanda3-1Liberia
  • W30 MarRwanda2-0Estonia
  • W27 MarRwanda4-0Grenada
  • L14 OctSouth Africa3-0Rwanda
Kenya

Kenya

Last 5 matches

WDWDL

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

9-3

Goals

  • L1 OctGuinea1-0Kenya
  • D26 SeptKenya1-1Eritrea
  • W7 JunKenya4-0Lesotho
  • D4 JunLesotho1-1Kenya
  • W30 MarGrenada0-3Kenya

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Rwanda

Rwanda

4-4-2
18
Adolphe Hakizimana
26
Darryl Nkulikiyimana
14
Elie Iradukunda
16
Clément Niyigena
3
Emmanuel Imanishimwe
8
Samuel Gueulette
6
Obed
22
Jojea Kwizera
11
Kévin Muhire
17
Innocent Nshuti
7
Abeddy Biramahire

Substitutes

JM
Joy-Lance Mickels
#20 · SUB
GB
Gilbert Byiringiro
#24 · SUB
CN
Claude Niyomugabo
#2 · SUB
HH
Hakim Hamis
#10 · SUB
LM
Leroy-Jacques Mickels
#13 · SUB
GM
Gilbert Mugisha
#12 · SUB
DB
Djihad Bizimana
#4 · SUB
BM
Bonheur Mugisha
#15 · SUB
AM
Ange Mutsinzi
#5 · SUB
NP
Niyongira Patience
#1 · SUB
TM
Taïba Mbonyumwami
#9 · SUB
Kenya

Kenya

4-2-3-1
1
Faruk Shikalo
2
Haniff Wesonga
3
Abud Omar
14
Amos Wanjala
4
Michael Kibwage
20
Manzur Okwaro
22
Marvin Omondi
12
Chris Erambo
21
Stanley Wilson
17
Vincent Harper
15
Ryan Ogam

Substitutes

FO
Frank Odhiambo
#5 · SUB
SM
Shariff Musa
#11 · SUB
BO
Bryne Odhiambo
#23 · SUB
MB
Mohammed Bajaber
#7 · SUB
BB
Brian Bwire
#18 · SUB
RO
Rooney Onyango
#16 · SUB
BO
Ben Omondi
#24 · SUB
JO
Javan Omondi Ochieng
#13 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.