International friendlies

00:30

Cancelled

Gambia

Monday, 5 October 2026 at 00:30Estadio Ramón Tahuichi, Santa Cruz

Bolivia vs Gambia: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Bolivia v Gambia in the International friendlies.

Data updated: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 04:22

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MBet statistical model

Bolivia vs Gambia prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Gambia, with a 65% chance of winning. It expects 1.1 goals from Bolivia and 2.4 from Gambia: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 63%). Both teams to score: yes at 58%. Most likely score: 1-2.

Small sample · 5/5 matches

1 · Bolivia: 15%
X · Draw: 19%
2 · Gambia: 65%

Expected goals

Bolivia 1.08 · Gambia 2.36

Most likely scores

1-2 (10%) · 0-2 (9%) · 1-1 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Gambia or draw (X2)	85%
Gambia to score	84%
Gambia (draw no bet)	81%
Over 1.5 goals	80%
Gambia to win	65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
Scenario	Probability
Gambia wins and over 2.5	49%
Under 3.5 goals	54%
Correct score 1-2	10%

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Bolivia come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 1 and conceding 16.
Gambia come in with good momentum: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6.
At home, Bolivia have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.0 goals scored and 3.3 conceded on average).
Away from home, Gambia have won 2 of their last 4 matches (3.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
In Bolivia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.
In Gambia's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Bolivia

Last 5 matches

LLLLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

1-16

Goals

L1 OctArgentina4-0Bolivia
L27 SeptBolivia0-2Paraguay
L11 JunBolivia0-4Algeria
L6 JunBolivia0-4Scotland
L1 AprIraq2-1Bolivia

Gambia

Last 5 matches

WLLWW

Wins

Draws

Losses

14-6

Goals

W29 SeptGhana2-4Gambia
W25 SeptGambia2-1Somalia
L29 MayIran0-0Gambia
L31 MarSenegal3-1Gambia
W14 OctSeychelles0-7Gambia

Line-ups

Bolivia

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Gambia

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Bolivia vs Gambia: FAQ

What time is Bolivia vs Gambia?

Bolivia vs Gambia (International friendlies) kicks off on Monday 5 October at 00:30 (Spain time), at Estadio Ramón Tahuichi, Santa Cruz.

Who is the favourite in Bolivia vs Gambia?

According to the MBet AI statistical model, Gambia are favourites, with a 65% chance of winning. Full split: Bolivia 15%, draw 19%, Gambia 65%. Expected goals: 1.1 - 2.4.

What is the most likely Bolivia vs Gambia score?

The most likely exact score is 1-2 (10%), followed by 0-2 (9%) and 1-1 (9%). Exact scores always carry low probability: treat it as a guide, not a certainty.