Conference League

Conference League

Thursday, 15 October 2026 at 18:45AIL Arena, Lugano

FC Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on FC Lugano v Red Star Belgrade in the Conference League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

FC Lugano vs Red Star Belgrade prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: FC Lugano (44%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · FC Lugano
44%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Red Star Belgrade
30%

Expected goals

FC Lugano 1.63 · Red Star Belgrade 1.31

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • FC Lugano went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 7.
  • Red Star Belgrade went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8.
  • At home, FC Lugano have won 2 of their last 3 matches (1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Red Star Belgrade have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
  • In FC Lugano's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In Red Star Belgrade's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 1 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

FC Lugano

FC Lugano

Last 5 matches

WDWDL

2

Wins

2

Draws

1

Losses

8-7

Goals

  • L2 OctFC Lugano1-3Hellas Verona
  • D27 AugMaccabi Tel-Aviv1-1FC Lugano
  • W20 AugFC Lugano2-1Maccabi Tel-Aviv
  • D13 AugNSI Runavik2-2FC Lugano
  • W6 AugFC Lugano2-0NSI Runavik
Red Star Belgrade

Red Star Belgrade

Last 5 matches

WLLWL

2

Wins

0

Draws

3

Losses

9-8

Goals

  • L27 AugViktoria Plzen5-1Red Star Belgrade
  • W20 AugRed Star Belgrade3-0Viktoria Plzen
  • L11 AugRed Star Belgrade0-2Hapoel Be'er
  • L4 AugHapoel Be'er1-0Red Star Belgrade
  • W29 JulRed Star Belgrade5-0Larne

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

FC Lugano

FC Lugano

3-4-2-1
16
David Von Ballmoos
3
Hannes Delcroix
17
Lukas Mai
6
Antonios Papadopoulos
2
Behruzjon Karimov
21
Yanis Cimignani
25
Uran Bislimi
8
Anto Grgic
9
Albian Ajeti
11
Renato Steffen
27
Daniel Correia

Substitutes

AK
Ahmed Kendouci
#14 · SUB
DM
Dereck Moncada
#30 · SUB
EA
Ezgjan Alioski
#7 · SUB
BC
Beckham Castro
#22 · SUB
FG
Felix Gebhardt
#28 · SUB
KB
Kevin Behrens
#91 · SUB
DK
Damian Kelvin
#4 · SUB
EP
Elias Pihlström
#24 · SUB
MM
Martim Marques
#26 · SUB
DM
Diego Mina
#99 · SUB
Red Star Belgrade

Red Star Belgrade

5-4-1
1
Matheus
37
Vladimir Lucic
23
Mihailo Ristic
3
Yuta Nakayama
45
Stefan Gudelj
60
Matej Gashtarov
21
Timi Elsnik
33
Rade Krunic
20
Tomás Händel
22
Vasilije Kostov
9
Bamba Dieng

Substitutes

IG
Ivan Guteša
#77 · SUB
MA
Marko Arnautovic
#7 · SUB
KB
Kristiyan Balov
#8 · SUB
SR
Savo Radanovic
#50 · SUB
MB
Mahmudu Bajo
#6 · SUB
FT
Franklin Tebo
#30 · SUB
MS
Muhammed-Cham Saracevic
#70 · SUB
DS
Dimitrije Saric
#55 · SUB
KY
Kim Ye-Geon
#19 · SUB
MV
Milos Veljkovic
#13 · SUB
MS
Matej Strika
#27 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.