Europa League
Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Celta Vigo v Union St.-Gilloise in the Europa League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Celta Vigo vs Union St.-Gilloise prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Union St.-Gilloise, with a 55% chance of winning. It expects 0.9 goals from Celta Vigo and 1.7 from Union St.-Gilloise: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 49%. Most likely score: 0-1.
Model favourite: Union St.-Gilloise (55%)
Large sample · 14/13 matches- 1 · Celta Vigo
- 19%
- X · Draw
- 26%
- 2 · Union St.-Gilloise
- 55%
Expected goals
Celta Vigo 0.88 · Union St.-Gilloise 1.66
Most likely scores
0-1 (12%) · 1-1 (12%) · 0-2 (11%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Union St.-Gilloise or draw (X2) | 81% |
| Union St.-Gilloise to score | 75% |
| Union St.-Gilloise (draw no bet) | 74% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 36% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Correct score 0-1 | 12% |
Based on goals from each team's last 14 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Celta Vigo come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
- Union St.-Gilloise come in with good momentum: 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5.
- At home, Celta Vigo have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Union St.-Gilloise have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
- In Celta Vigo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Union St.-Gilloise's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.
Celta Vigo
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
5-7
Goals
- L31 OctRayo Vallecano3-0Celta Vigo
- D25 OctCelta Vigo0-0Real Betis
- W22 OctCeltic1-2Celta Vigo
- W18 OctCelta Vigo2-1Alavés
- L15 OctCelta Vigo1-2Juventus
- D11 OctElche0-0Celta Vigo
Union St.-Gilloise
Last 6 matches
4
Wins
2
Draws
0
Losses
15-5
Goals
- W31 OctWaasland-Beveren1-2Union St.-Gilloise
- W25 OctUnion St.-Gilloise5-2Cercle Brugge KSV
- W22 OctUnion St.-Gilloise4-0Hapoel Be'er
- D15 OctUnion St.-Gilloise1-1Real Sociedad
- D11 OctUnion St.-Gilloise1-1OH Leuven
- W20 SeptAntwerp0-2Union St.-Gilloise
Line-ups
Celta Vigo
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
Union St.-Gilloise
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.