Europa League
Benfica vs Lech Poznan: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Benfica v Lech Poznan in the Europa League.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Benfica vs Lech Poznan prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Benfica, with a 68% chance of winning. It expects 2.4 goals from Benfica and 1.0 from Lech Poznan: it points to a high-scoring game (over 2.5 at 62%). Both teams to score: yes at 56%. Most likely score: 2-0.
Model favourite: Benfica (68%)
Small sample · 6/5 matches- 1 · Benfica
- 68%
- X · Draw
- 19%
- 2 · Lech Poznan
- 13%
Expected goals
Benfica 2.41 · Lech Poznan 0.99
Most likely scores
2-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%) · 1-1 (8%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Benfica or draw (1X) | 87% |
| Benfica to score | 85% |
| Benfica (draw no bet) | 84% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% |
| Benfica to win | 68% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 49% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Correct score 2-0 | 10% |
Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Benfica come in with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 6.
- Lech Poznan come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 13.
- At home, Benfica have won 3 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Lech Poznan have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.0 goals scored and 3.0 conceded on average).
- In Benfica's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
- In Lech Poznan's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Benfica
Last 6 matches
5
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
14-6
Goals
- W2 NovBenfica1-0Alverca
- W26 OctSanta Clara1-2Benfica
- W22 OctOmonia Nicosia1-4Benfica
- W15 OctBenfica4-1Celtic
- W11 OctBenfica2-0Vitória de Guimaraes
- L20 SeptFC Porto3-1Benfica

Lech Poznan
Last 5 matches
0
Wins
3
Draws
2
Losses
5-13
Goals
- D22 OctLech Poznan1-1Sunderland
- L15 OctLech Poznan0-4Bayer Leverkusen
- D3 OctLech Poznan2-2Energie Cottbus
- L17 SeptCrystal Palace4-0Lech Poznan
- D27 AugFC Thun2-2Lech Poznan
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Benfica
Substitutes

Lech Poznan
Substitutes
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.