Europa League

Europa League

Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00Merkur Arena, Graz

SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on SK Sturm Graz v NK Celje in the Europa League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

SK Sturm Graz vs NK Celje prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: SK Sturm Graz (56%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches
1 · SK Sturm Graz
56%
X · Draw
24%
2 · NK Celje
20%

Expected goals

SK Sturm Graz 1.83 · NK Celje 1.00

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • SK Sturm Graz went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 7.
  • NK Celje went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 4 and conceding 10.
  • At home, SK Sturm Graz have won 2 of their last 4 matches (2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, NK Celje have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In SK Sturm Graz's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In NK Celje's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

Last 6 matches

DLWWDD

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

10-7

Goals

  • D1 NovWolfsberger1-1SK Sturm Graz
  • D25 OctSK Sturm Graz2-2SV Josko Ried
  • W22 OctSK Sturm Graz1-0Marseille
  • W18 OctSK Sturm Graz6-1Grazer AK
  • L15 OctAFC Bournemouth3-0SK Sturm Graz
  • D16 SeptSK Sturm Graz0-0Stade Rennais
NK Celje

NK Celje

Last 5 matches

DLLLD

0

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

4-10

Goals

  • D22 OctNK Celje2-2RB Salzburg
  • L15 OctNK Celje0-3Omonia Nicosia
  • L16 SeptBayer Leverkusen2-0NK Celje
  • L26 AugNK Celje1-2Slovan Bratislava
  • D19 AugSlovan Bratislava1-1NK Celje

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

SK Sturm Graz

SK Sturm Graz

3-4-3
22
Ammar Helac
30
Paul-Friedrich Koller
2
Joshua Quarshie
23
Arjan Malic
28
Jürgen Heil
27
Luís Balbo
39
Luca Weinhandl
4
Jon Gorenc Stankovic
14
Oumar Diakité
19
Simon Seidl
78
Valmir Matoshi

Substitutes

GM
Gizo Mamageishvili
#15 · SUB
MG
Mate Grgić
#25 · SUB
JP
Jacob Peter Hödl
#43 · SUB
AV
Albert Vallci
#5 · SUB
PP
Petar Petrović
#21 · SUB
EL
Elias Lorenz
#41 · SUB
AK
Axel Kayombo
#11 · SUB
BB
Belmin Beganovic
#26 · SUB
JP
Jonas Peinhart
#38 · SUB
JH
Julian Halwachs
#40 · SUB
AS
Adam Stejskal
#1 · SUB
NK Celje

NK Celje

4-2-3-1
1
Zan-Luk Leban
2
Pijus Sirvys
11
Milot Avdyli
44
Lukasz Bejger
6
Artemijus Tutyskinas
19
Mark Zabukovnik
25
Veton Tusha
13
Papa Daniel
10
Svit Seslar
7
Benjamin Verbic
47
Armandas Kucys

Substitutes

AD
Alpha Dionkou
#20 · SUB
MI
Matic Ivansek
#77 · SUB
MK
Mario Kvesic
#8 · SUB
DH
Darko Hrka
#4 · SUB
ZF
Ziga Frelih
#23 · SUB
YD
Yaya Dukuly
#91 · SUB
LK
Luka Kolar
#12 · SUB
BK
Blaz Kramer
#9 · SUB
LK
Leonardo Koutris
#33 · SUB
DS
Dejan Suhovrsnik
#31 · SUB
ZZ
Zan Zuzek
#15 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.