Europa League

Europa League

Thursday, 5 November 2026 at 21:00Stadium of Light, Sunderland

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Sunderland v Dinamo Zagreb in the Europa League.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Sunderland vs Dinamo Zagreb prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Sunderland, with a 47% chance of winning. It expects 1.6 goals from Sunderland and 1.2 from Dinamo Zagreb: over/under 2.5 goals is evenly split. Both teams to score: yes at 54%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Sunderland (47%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches
1 · Sunderland
47%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Dinamo Zagreb
27%

Expected goals

Sunderland 1.61 · Dinamo Zagreb 1.16

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (9%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Sunderland to score74%
Sunderland or draw (1X)73%
Over 1.5 goals71%
Under 3.5 goals65%
Dinamo Zagreb to score64%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.543%
Both teams to score: yes54%
Correct score 1-112%

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Sunderland come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 9.
  • Dinamo Zagreb come in with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9.
  • At home, Sunderland have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Dinamo Zagreb have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Sunderland's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Dinamo Zagreb's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Sunderland

Sunderland

Last 6 matches

WLDDWL

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

7-9

Goals

  • L31 OctCoventry City3-1Sunderland
  • W28 OctSunderland3-2Brentford
  • D25 OctSunderland0-0Leeds United
  • D22 OctLech Poznan1-1Sunderland
  • L18 OctAFC Bournemouth2-0Sunderland
  • W15 OctTorreense1-2Sunderland
Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

Last 5 matches

DLDWL

1

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

6-9

Goals

  • L22 OctDinamo Zagreb2-4NEC Nijmegen
  • W15 OctDinamo Zagreb1-0Anderlecht
  • D16 SeptHapoel Be'er0-0Dinamo Zagreb
  • L26 AugViking FK3-1Dinamo Zagreb
  • D18 AugDinamo Zagreb2-2Viking FK

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Sunderland

Sunderland

4-2-3-1
22
Robin Roefs
12
Thomas Meunier
6
Dayann Methalie
4
Kevin Danso
15
Omar Alderete
29
Jules Ahoka
10
Nilson Angulo
34
Granit Xhaka
11
Chris Rigg
39
Malick Fofana
18
Wilson Isidor

Substitutes

JW
Jack Whittaker
#40 · SUB
NS
Noah Sadiki
#27 · SUB
TT
Tymur Tutierov
#57 · SUB
TH
Trai Hume
#32 · SUB
TP
Tom Proctor
#77 · SUB
BB
Brian Brobbey
#9 · SUB
RM
Reinildo Mandava
#17 · SUB
LO
Luke O'Nien
#13 · SUB
EL
Enzo Le Fée
#28 · SUB
SM
Simon Moore
#21 · SUB
CT
Chemsdine Talbi
#7 · SUB
JA
Jenson Arron Jones
#48 · SUB
Dinamo Zagreb

Dinamo Zagreb

4-3-3
24
Dominik Kotarski
25
Moris Valincic
3
Bruno Goda
15
Niko Galesic
36
Sergi Domínguez
27
Josip Misic
21
Mateo Lisica
10
Luka Stojkovic
9
Dion Drena Beljo
80
Lukas Kacavenda
99
Mislav Orsic

Substitutes

LI
Luka Ivanusec
#17 · SUB
IA
Iker Almena
#23 · SUB
SR
Stjepan Radeljic
#6 · SUB
IF
Ivan Filipovic
#44 · SUB
SS
Sven Sunta
#41 · SUB
MZ
Miha Zajc
#8 · SUB
SP
Smail Prevljak
#14 · SUB
MV
Matteo Vinlöf
#22 · SUB
AH
Arbër Hoxha
#11 · SUB
DZ
Danijel Zagorac
#1 · SUB
NM
Noa Mikic
#35 · SUB
DR
Daniel Rodríguez
#7 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.