Carabao Cup

Carabao Cup

Wednesday, 16 September 2026 at 21:00Old Trafford, Manchester

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Manchester United v Brighton & Hove Albion in the Carabao Cup.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Manchester United (38%)

Small sample · 5/4 matches
1 · Manchester United
38%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Brighton & Hove Albion
38%

Expected goals

Manchester United 1.68 · Brighton & Hove Albion 1.67

Most likely scores

1-1 (10%) · 2-1 (8%) · 1-2 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Manchester United went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Manchester United have won 2 of their last 3 matches (3.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Brighton & Hove Albion have won 1 of their last 2 matches (4.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Manchester United's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.
  • In Brighton & Hove Albion's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 2 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Manchester United

Manchester United

Last 5 matches

LWDWL

2

Wins

1

Draws

2

Losses

11-7

Goals

  • L13 SeptManchester United0-1Manchester City
  • W10 SeptManchester United4-0Sabah FK
  • D6 SeptEverton2-2Manchester United
  • W30 AugManchester United5-2Ipswich Town
  • L22 AugHull City2-0Manchester United
Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

Last 5 matches

WWLDW

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

17-5

Goals

  • W13 SeptCoventry City0-5Brighton & Hove Albion
  • D5 SeptBrighton & Hove Albion1-1Leeds United
  • L30 AugChelsea4-3Brighton & Hove Albion
  • W27 AugBrighton & Hove Albion4-0Tromso
  • W23 AugBrighton & Hove Albion4-0Aston Villa

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Manchester United

Manchester United

4-2-3-1
12
Karl Darlow
2
Diogo Dalot
3
Noussair Mazraoui
15
Leny Yoro
26
Ayden Heaven
17
Andrey Santos
31
Shea Lacey
18
Youri Tielemans
7
Mason Mount
9
Marcus Rashford
30
Benjamin Sesko

Substitutes

JZ
Joshua Zirkzee
#11 · SUB
MC
Matheus Cunha
#10 · SUB
HM
Harry Maguire
#5 · SUB
SL
Senne Lammens
#1 · SUB
BM
Bryan Mbeumo
#19 · SUB
HA
Harry Amass
#41 · SUB
BF
Bruno Fernandes
#8 · SUB
TF
Tyler Fletcher
#39 · SUB
KM
Kobbie Mainoo
#37 · SUB
Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

4-3-3
23
Jason Steele
20
Costinha
3
Jaouen Hadjam
44
Luka Vuskovic
4
Pascal Struijk
21
Olivier Boscagli
14
Chema Andrés
13
Pascal Gross
19
Charalambos Kostoulas
33
Matt O'Riley
35
Malick Yalcouyé

Substitutes

FK
Ferdi Kadioglu
#24 · SUB
PD
Promise David
#12 · SUB
IO
Ibrahim Osman
#15 · SUB
MD
Maxim De Cuyper
#29 · SUB
GR
Georginio Rutter
#10 · SUB
DG
Diego Gómez
#25 · SUB
YA
Yasin Ayari
#26 · SUB
LD
Lewis Dunk
#5 · SUB
BV
Bart Verbruggen
#1 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.