Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana

Wednesday, 9 September 2026 at 00:00Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogota

Independiente Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Santa Fe v Vasco da Gama in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Santa Fe (50%)

Medium sample · 11/11 matches
1 · Independiente Santa Fe
50%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Vasco da Gama
23%

Expected goals

Independiente Santa Fe 1.53 · Vasco da Gama 0.95

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 2-0 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Santa Fe went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 5 draws and 0 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 6.
  • Vasco da Gama went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Independiente Santa Fe have won 1 of their last 4 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vasco da Gama have won 2 of their last 4 matches (1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Santa Fe's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 4 of 6.
  • In Vasco da Gama's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

Last 6 matches

DDDDWD

1

Wins

5

Draws

0

Losses

7-6

Goals

  • D6 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe2-2Fortaleza CEIF
  • W3 SeptIndependiente Santa Fe3-2Millonarios
  • D30 AugAtlético Junior1-1Independiente Santa Fe
  • D27 AugRiver Plate1-1Independiente Santa Fe
  • D23 AugIndependiente Santa Fe0-0América de Cali
  • D20 AugIndependiente Santa Fe0-0River Plate
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

Last 6 matches

WLWWWL

4

Wins

0

Draws

2

Losses

11-7

Goals

  • L6 SeptFluminense1-0Vasco da Gama
  • W3 SeptVitória0-2Vasco da Gama
  • W30 AugVasco da Gama3-1Cruzeiro
  • W27 AugVasco da Gama1-0Vitória
  • L23 AugPalmeiras4-1Vasco da Gama
  • W21 AugClub Olimpia1-4Vasco da Gama

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

4-2-3-1
12
Weibmar Asprilla
13
Helibelton Palacios
32
Christian Mafla
18
Emanuel Olivera
15
Iván Scarpeta
7
Johan Torres
77
Jáder Obrian
16
Daniel Torres
9
Franco Fagúndez
25
Emerson Rodríguez
11
Hugo Rodallega

Substitutes

JA
Jeison Angulo
#24 · SUB
LP
Luis Palacios
#14 · SUB
VM
Víctor Moreno
#3 · SUB
KT
Kilian Toscano
#6 · SUB
EM
Ewil Murillo
#21 · SUB
MP
Mateo Puerta
#4 · SUB
AZ
Alexis Zapata
#10 · SUB
ML
Maximiliano Lovera
#17 · SUB
JE
Juan Espitia
#31 · SUB
NB
Nahuel Bustos
#19 · SUB
AA
Andrés Amaya
#49 · SUB
CP
Cristhian Portocarrero
#39 · SUB
Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama

4-1-4-1
1
Léo Jardim
2
José Luis Rodríguez
6
Lucas Piton
4
Alan Saldivia
43
Lucas Freitas
88
Cauan Barros
18
Marino Hinestroza
83
Ramon Rique
10
Johan Rojas
17
Nuno Moreira
77
Claudio Spinelli

Substitutes

PH
Paulo Henrique
#96 · SUB
R
Robert
#30 · SUB
LZ
Lukas Zuccarello
#86 · SUB
AF
Andrey Fernandes
#74 · SUB
DF
Daniel Fuzato
#13 · SUB
TT
Tchê Tchê
#3 · SUB
BA
Bruno André
#80 · SUB
P
Paulinho
#29 · SUB
BD
Bruno Duarte
#19 · SUB
D
David
#7 · SUB
E
Euder
#70 · SUB
SS
Santiago Sosa
#5 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.