Copa Libertadores

Copa Libertadores

Friday, 11 September 2026 at 02:30Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente del Valle v Flamengo in the Copa Libertadores.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente del Valle vs Flamengo prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Flamengo (39%)

Small sample · 5/6 matches
1 · Independiente del Valle
35%
X · Draw
26%
2 · Flamengo
39%

Expected goals

Independiente del Valle 1.38 · Flamengo 1.47

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-2 (9%) · 2-1 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente del Valle went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6.
  • Flamengo went into this match with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 4.
  • At home, Independiente del Valle have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Flamengo have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente del Valle's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5, and both teams scored in 4 of 5.
  • In Flamengo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

Last 5 matches

WWDLW

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

10-6

Goals

  • W6 SeptIndependiente del Valle3-1Macará
  • L3 SeptBarcelona SC2-1Independiente del Valle
  • D29 AugIndependiente del Valle2-2Universidad Católica (Quito)
  • W26 AugIndependiente del Valle3-1Deportes Tolima
  • W19 AugDeportes Tolima0-1Independiente del Valle
Flamengo

Flamengo

Last 6 matches

WWLWWW

5

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

14-4

Goals

  • W6 SeptRemo0-1Flamengo
  • W3 SeptFlamengo2-0Mirassol
  • W30 AugFlamengo3-0Botafogo
  • L23 AugCruzeiro2-1Flamengo
  • W20 AugFlamengo2-1Cruzeiro
  • W16 AugMirassol1-5Flamengo

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente del Valle

Independiente del Valle

4-1-4-1
1
Aldair Quintana
13
Daykol Romero
19
Layan Loor
14
Mateo Carabajal
5
Richard Schunke
6
Jordy Alcívar
17
Arón Rodríguez
28
Hugo Quintana
10
Junior Sornoza
31
Emerson Pata
9
Carlos González

Substitutes

MP
Miguel Peralta
#70 · SUB
MP
Matías Perello
#11 · SUB
AV
Andy Velasco
#33 · SUB
YO
Youri Ochoa
#8 · SUB
RB
Ronald Briones
#16 · SUB
DR
Djorkaeff Reasco
#99 · SUB
GC
Gustavo Cortez
#15 · SUB
JV
Juan Viacava
#23 · SUB
JM
Jhegson Méndez
#32 · SUB
EQ
Edwin Quintero
#56 · SUB
JJ
Jhon Jairo Espinoza
#4 · SUB
YV
Yandri Vásquez
#52 · SUB
Flamengo

Flamengo

4-2-3-1
1
Agustín Rossi
22
Emerson Royal
6
Ayrton Lucas
3
Léo Ortiz
4
Léo Pereira
21
Jorginho
15
Jorge Carrascal
5
Erick Pulgar
10
Giorgian de Arrascaeta
16
Samuel Lino
27
Bruno Henrique

Substitutes

LP
Lucas Paquetá
#20 · SUB
D
Danilo
#13 · SUB
SÑ
Saúl Ñíguez
#8 · SUB
JF
Joaquin Freitas
#30 · SUB
ND
Nicolás de la Cruz
#18 · SUB
GP
Gonzalo Plata
#19 · SUB
P
Pedro
#9 · SUB
V
Vitão
#44 · SUB
GV
Guillermo Varela
#2 · SUB
AV
Anthony Valencia
#14 · SUB
A
Andrew
#42 · SUB
LA
Luiz Araújo
#7 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.