Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana

1-1

Full-time
Wednesday, 12 August 2026 at 02:30Estadio Hernando Siles, La Paz

Bolívar vs São Paulo: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Bolívar v São Paulo in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Bolívar vs São Paulo prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Bolívar (53%)

Small sample · 5/4 matches
1 · Bolívar
53%
X · Draw
25%
2 · São Paulo
22%

Expected goals

Bolívar 1.75 · São Paulo 1.04

Most likely scores

1-1 (12%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Bolívar went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 6.
  • São Paulo went into this match with a difficult run: 0 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 4 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
  • At home, Bolívar have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, São Paulo have not won any of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • In Bolívar's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.
  • In São Paulo's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 4, and both teams scored in 3 of 4.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Bolívar

Bolívar

Last 5 matches

WWLWW

4

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

10-6

Goals

  • W9 AugAurora2-4Bolívar
  • W6 AugBolívar2-1Oriente Petrolero
  • L2 AugAlways Ready1-0Bolívar
  • W31 JulGrêmio0-1Bolívar
  • W24 JulBolívar3-2Grêmio
São Paulo

São Paulo

Last 4 matches

LLDL

0

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

3-6

Goals

  • L8 AugGrêmio2-1São Paulo
  • D26 JulFlamengo1-1São Paulo
  • L23 JulSão Paulo1-2Athletico-PR
  • L1 JunRemo1-0São Paulo

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Bolívar

Bolívar

4-4-2
1
Carlos Lampe
2
Jesús Sagredo
4
José Sagredo
3
Xavier Arreaga
5
Santiago Echeverría
80
Tonino Melgar
14
Robson Matheus
26
Erwin Saavedra
17
Patricio Rodríguez
9
Martín Cauteruccio
27
Dairon Asprilla

Substitutes

BM
Bruno Miranda
#11 · SUB
JV
Jhon Velásquez
#7 · SUB
DM
Diego Méndez
#13 · SUB
LZ
Leonardo Zabala
#16 · SUB
FM
Fernando Mena
#33 · SUB
DB
Damián Batallini
#99 · SUB
EV
Ervin Vaca
#6 · SUB
BA
Billy Arce
#10 · SUB
ER
Escleizon Rivero
#35 · SUB
CS
Carlos Sejas
#20 · SUB
LF
Luiz Fernando Paz
#8 · SUB
DR
Dorny Romero
#77 · SUB
São Paulo

São Paulo

3-5-1-1
23
Rafael
22
Domingos Duarte
5
Robert Arboleda
28
Newton
19
Lucas Ramon
12
Iago
16
Damián Bobadilla
8
Marcos Antonio
29
Pablo Maia
9
Jonathan Calleri
10
Luciano

Substitutes

AS
André Silva
#17 · SUB
LO
Luis Osorio
#54 · SUB
C
Cauly
#80 · SUB
RF
Ryan Francisco
#49 · SUB
CC
Carlos Coronel
#31 · SUB
T
Tetê
#34 · SUB
S
Sabino
#35 · SUB
W
Wendell
#18 · SUB
F
Ferreira
#11 · SUB
JV
Joao Victor
#27 · SUB
B
Buta
#20 · SUB
D
Danielzinho
#94 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.