Copa Sudamericana

Copa Sudamericana

Thursday, 20 August 2026 at 02:30Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campín, Bogota

Independiente Santa Fe vs River Plate: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Independiente Santa Fe v River Plate in the Copa Sudamericana.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Independiente Santa Fe vs River Plate prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Independiente Santa Fe (52%)

Small sample · 5/5 matches
1 · Independiente Santa Fe
52%
X · Draw
28%
2 · River Plate
20%

Expected goals

Independiente Santa Fe 1.50 · River Plate 0.83

Most likely scores

1-0 (14%) · 1-1 (13%) · 2-0 (11%)

Based on goals from each team's last 5 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Independiente Santa Fe went into this match with good momentum: 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 4.
  • River Plate went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches, scoring 2 and conceding 4.
  • At home, Independiente Santa Fe have won 3 of their last 4 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, River Plate have not won any of their last 2 matches (0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • In Independiente Santa Fe's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
  • In River Plate's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 0 of 5, and both teams scored in 0 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

Last 6 matches

WLWDWW

4

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

12-4

Goals

  • W8 AugIndependiente Santa Fe2-0Boyacá Chicó FC
  • W6 AugIndependiente Santa Fe2-0Unión Magdalena
  • D3 AugIndependiente Santa Fe2-2Once Caldas
  • W31 JulCaracas FC0-3Independiente Santa Fe
  • L26 JulÁguilas Doradas2-1Independiente Santa Fe
  • W24 JulIndependiente Santa Fe2-0Caracas FC
River Plate

River Plate

Last 5 matches

LLLLW

1

Wins

0

Draws

4

Losses

2-4

Goals

  • W16 AugRiver Plate2-0Argentinos Juniors
  • L8 AugTigre1-0River Plate
  • L3 AugRiver Plate0-1Rosario Central
  • L30 JulGimnasia La Plata1-0River Plate
  • L26 JulRiver Plate0-1Barracas Central

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Independiente Santa Fe

Independiente Santa Fe

4-2-3-1
12
Weibmar Asprilla
13
Helibelton Palacios
32
Christian Mafla
18
Emanuel Olivera
35
Kevin Balanta
6
Kilian Toscano
77
Jáder Obrian
16
Daniel Torres
19
Nahuel Bustos
10
Alexis Zapata
11
Hugo Rodallega

Substitutes

OF
Omar Fernández
#8 · SUB
ML
Maximiliano Lovera
#17 · SUB
JZ
Jhojan Zúñiga
#42 · SUB
IS
Iván Scarpeta
#15 · SUB
YV
Yilmar Velázquez
#20 · SUB
JT
Johan Torres
#7 · SUB
EC
Emiliano Contreras
#30 · SUB
CP
Cristhian Portocarrero
#39 · SUB
LP
Luis Palacios
#14 · SUB
FF
Franco Fagúndez
#9 · SUB
MP
Mateo Puerta
#4 · SUB
JA
Jeison Angulo
#24 · SUB
River Plate

River Plate

4-2-3-1
41
Santiago Beltrán
28
Lucas Martínez Quarta
31
Facundo González
30
Nicolás Otamendi
13
Lautaruo Rivero
15
Fausto Vera
50
Tobías Andrada
6
Aníbal Moreno
10
Ángel Correa
26
Tomás Galván
19
Rafael Borré

Substitutes

EC
Ezequiel Centuríon
#33 · SUB
LS
Lucas Silva
#44 · SUB
ÁS
Ángel Susano
#48 · SUB
JF
Joaquin Freitas
#35 · SUB
FJ
Franco Jaroszewicz
#42 · SUB
TA
Thiago Almada
#23 · SUB
VL
Valentín Lucero
#43 · SUB
JM
Juan Meza
#24 · SUB
JS
Jonathan Spiff
#52 · SUB
LP
Lautaro Pereyra
#25 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.