Serie B

Serie B

15:00

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Saturday, 7 November 2026 at 15:00Euganeo, Padova

Padova vs Empoli: prediction and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Padova v Empoli in the Serie B.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Padova vs Empoli prediction and probabilities

Our prediction: The model's favourite is Padova, with a 47% chance of winning. It expects 1.4 goals from Padova and 1.0 from Empoli: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.

Model favourite: Padova (47%)

Medium sample · 11/11 matches
1 · Padova
47%
X · Draw
29%
2 · Empoli
25%

Expected goals

Padova 1.41 · Empoli 0.96

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 0-0 (10%)

Most likely scenarios

Sorted from most to least likely.

Most likely scenarios
ScenarioProbability
Padova or draw (1X)75%
Under 3.5 goals73%
Padova to score70%
Padova (draw no bet)65%
Over 1.5 goals65%

Other possible scenarios

Less likely, but with a real chance.

Other possible scenarios
ScenarioProbability
BTTS and over 2.534%
Empoli or draw (X2)53%
Correct score 1-113%

Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Padova come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
  • Empoli come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13.
  • At home, Padova have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Empoli have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
  • In Padova's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Empoli's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In the table, Padova are 10th and Empoli 18th (14 and 8 points). Padova sit 8 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Padova

Padova

Last 6 matches

LLLWWD

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

6-7

Goals

  • D31 OctCatanzaro1-1Padova
  • W27 OctPadova2-0Sudtirol
  • W24 OctUS Avellino0-1Padova
  • L17 OctPadova1-2Virtus Entella
  • L11 OctPadova0-2Carrarese
  • L19 SeptPalermo2-1Padova
Empoli

Empoli

Last 6 matches

LLDLLD

0

Wins

2

Draws

4

Losses

7-13

Goals

  • D1 NovEmpoli2-2Juve Stabia
  • L27 OctCesena2-1Empoli
  • L23 OctEmpoli0-2Vicenza
  • D17 OctAscoli1-1Empoli
  • L10 OctEmpoli2-4Palermo
  • L20 SeptModena2-1Empoli

Standings

Padova

Padova

10º

Pos.

14

Pts

10

P

Empoli

Empoli

18º

Pos.

8

Pts

10

P

Line-ups

Padova

Padova

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Empoli

Empoli

Line-up not available yet.

It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.