Serie B
Padova vs Empoli: prediction and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Padova v Empoli in the Serie B.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Padova vs Empoli prediction and probabilities
Our prediction: The model's favourite is Padova, with a 47% chance of winning. It expects 1.4 goals from Padova and 1.0 from Empoli: it points to a tight game (under 2.5 at 56%). Both teams to score: yes at 48%. Most likely score: 1-1.
Model favourite: Padova (47%)
Medium sample · 11/11 matches- 1 · Padova
- 47%
- X · Draw
- 29%
- 2 · Empoli
- 25%
Expected goals
Padova 1.41 · Empoli 0.96
Most likely scores
1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (12%) · 0-0 (10%)
Most likely scenarios
Sorted from most to least likely.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| Padova or draw (1X) | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 73% |
| Padova to score | 70% |
| Padova (draw no bet) | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
Other possible scenarios
Less likely, but with a real chance.
| Scenario | Probability |
|---|---|
| BTTS and over 2.5 | 34% |
| Empoli or draw (X2) | 53% |
| Correct score 1-1 | 13% |
Based on goals from each team's last 11 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
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Confirmed data
Key facts
- Padova come in with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 7.
- Empoli come in with a difficult run: 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 13.
- At home, Padova have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Empoli have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded on average).
- In Padova's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Empoli's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Padova are 10th and Empoli 18th (14 and 8 points). Padova sit 8 places higher.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Padova
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
6-7
Goals
- D31 OctCatanzaro1-1Padova
- W27 OctPadova2-0Sudtirol
- W24 OctUS Avellino0-1Padova
- L17 OctPadova1-2Virtus Entella
- L11 OctPadova0-2Carrarese
- L19 SeptPalermo2-1Padova

Empoli
Last 6 matches
0
Wins
2
Draws
4
Losses
7-13
Goals
- D1 NovEmpoli2-2Juve Stabia
- L27 OctCesena2-1Empoli
- L23 OctEmpoli0-2Vicenza
- D17 OctAscoli1-1Empoli
- L10 OctEmpoli2-4Palermo
- L20 SeptModena2-1Empoli
Standings
Padova
10º
Pos.
14
Pts
10
P
Empoli
18º
Pos.
8
Pts
10
P
Line-ups

Padova
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.

Empoli
Line-up not available yet.
It usually appears about an hour before kick-off.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.