Primeira Liga

Alverca

2-2

Full-time

Estrela

Saturday, 15 August 2026 at 16:30Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo

Alverca vs Estrela: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Alverca v Estrela in the Primeira Liga.

Data updated: Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 02:15

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MBet statistical model

Alverca vs Estrela prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Alverca (37%)

Small sample · 6/6 matches

1 · Alverca: 37%
X · Draw: 28%
2 · Estrela: 35%

Expected goals

Alverca 1.32 · Estrela 1.26

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 1-0 (9%) · 0-1 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Alverca went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 3 and conceding 7.
Estrela went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 3 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11.
At home, Alverca have won 1 of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
Away from home, Estrela have not won any of their last 2 matches (2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded on average).
In Alverca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 1 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
In Estrela's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
In the table, Alverca are 18th and Estrela 9th (0 and 1 points). Estrela sit 9 places higher.
Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 0 wins for Alverca, 0 for Estrela and 2 draws, with 3.0 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Alverca

Last 6 matches

LWLDLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

3-7

Goals

L9 AugFC Porto2-0Alverca
L16 MayFC Famalicao1-0Alverca
D10 MayAlverca1-1Estoril
L2 MayFC Porto1-0Alverca
W24 AprAlverca2-1Arouca
L18 AprCD Nacional1-0FC Alverca

Estrela

Last 6 matches

LLDDWD

Wins

Draws

Losses

11-11

Goals

D8 AugEstrela2-2Sporting CP
W1 AugEstrela4-2Al Nassr
D16 MayBraga2-2Estrela
D11 MayEstrela0-0FC Famalicao
L2 MayMoreirense3-2Estrela
L26 AprCF Estrela da Amadora1-2FC Porto

Standings

Alverca

18º

Pos.

Pts

Estrela

9º

Pos.

Pts

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Alverca

3-4-2-1

Matheus Mendes

Bastien Meupiyou

Yahya Bojang

Steven Baseya

Nabili Touaizi

Isaac James

Davy Gui

Ian Luccas

Vivaldo Semedo

Chiquinho

Lucas Figueiredo

Substitutes

Rayan Lucas

#35 · SUB

Zakaria Kessary

#18 · SUB

Cédric Nuozzi

#11 · SUB

Samy Jr. Merheg

#17 · SUB

Toni Tamarit

#27 · SUB

Ikker Julian

#15 · SUB

Jhonatan

#91 · SUB

Diogo Spencer

#20 · SUB

Chissumba

#55 · SUB

Vasco Moreira

#8 · SUB

Abderrahmane Soumare

#30 · SUB

Marco Essimi

#19 · SUB

Estrela

4-3-3

Leo Linck

Jefferson Encada

Rafa Soares

Luan Patrick

Stefan Lekovic

Eddy Doué

Lovro Zvonarek

Robinho

Leandro Antonetti

Abraham Marcus

Ianis Stoica

Substitutes

Lucas Mincarelli

#3 · SUB

Bénito

#93 · SUB

Santiago Serra

#78 · SUB

David Grilo

#22 · SUB

Bernardo Schappo

#4 · SUB

Sydney van Hooijdonk

#9 · SUB

Emerson Vanga

#71 · SUB

Alisson Souza

#80 · SUB

Diogo Pinto

#51 · SUB

Max Scholze

#21 · SUB

Tom Moustier

#28 · SUB

Atanas Chernev

#79 · SUB

Head-to-head

FC Alverca

1 - 1

31 Jan

CF Estrela da Amadora

2 - 2

25 Aug

FC Alverca

Alverca vs Estrela: FAQ

What was the Alverca vs Estrela score?

Alverca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) finished 2-2: ended in a draw. It was played on Saturday 15 August at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca, Alverca do Ribatejo.