Primeira Liga

1-0

Full-time

C.D. Nacional

Sunday, 23 August 2026 at 16:30Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães

Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Vitória de Guimaraes v C.D. Nacional in the Primeira Liga.

Data updated: Friday, 6 November 2026 at 18:08

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MBet statistical model

Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: C.D. Nacional (41%)

Small sample · 6/6 matches

1 · Vitória de Guimaraes: 31%
X · Draw: 28%
2 · C.D. Nacional: 41%

Expected goals

Vitória de Guimaraes 1.20 · C.D. Nacional 1.41

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 0-1 (10%) · 1-2 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

Vitória de Guimaraes went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 12.
C.D. Nacional went into this match with mixed results: 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
At home, Vitória de Guimaraes have won 1 of their last 3 matches (0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
Away from home, C.D. Nacional have won 1 of their last 3 matches (1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded on average).
In Vitória de Guimaraes's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
In C.D. Nacional's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 2 of 6.
In the table, Vitória de Guimaraes are 17th and C.D. Nacional 6th (0 and 4 points). C.D. Nacional sit 11 places higher.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Vitória de Guimaraes

Last 6 matches

WLLLLL

Wins

Draws

Losses

5-12

Goals

L14 AugSporting CP3-2Vitória de Guimaraes
L8 AugVitória de Guimaraes0-1Arouca
L16 MayC.D. Nacional2-0Vitória de Guimaraes
L11 MayVitória de Guimaraes0-1Casa Pia
L4 MaySporting CP5-1Vitória de Guimaraes
W25 AprVitória SC2-0Rio Ave FC

C.D. Nacional

Last 6 matches

WLLWDW

Wins

Draws

Losses

9-6

Goals

W16 AugC.D. Nacional2-0Estoril
D10 AugSanta Clara2-2C.D. Nacional
W16 MayC.D. Nacional2-0Vitória de Guimaraes
L11 MaySanta Clara2-0C.D. Nacional
L2 MayC.D. Nacional1-2AVS
W25 AprCD Tondela0-2CD Nacional

Standings

Vitória de Guimaraes

17º

Pos.

Pts

C.D. Nacional

6º

Pos.

Pts

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Vitória de Guimaraes

4-2-3-1

Oliwier Zych

Tony Strata

João Mendes

Óscar Rivas

Thiago Balieiro

Gonçalo Nogueira

Miguel Nogueira

Lohann Doucet

Samu

Gustavo da Silva

Alioune Ndoye

Substitutes

Lucas Furtado

#98 · SUB

Juan Castillo

#22 · SUB

Miguel Maga

#2 · SUB

Patrick Ouotro

#29 · SUB

Santi Verdi

#56 · SUB

Ahmed Sidibé

#5 · SUB

Telmo Arcanjo

#18 · SUB

Francisco Dias

#82 · SUB

Beni Mukendi

#16 · SUB

Oumar Tourad Camara

#7 · SUB

Matija Mitrovic

#6 · SUB

C.D. Nacional

3-4-2-1

Renato Marin

Zé Vitor

Matheus Dias

Léo Santos

Wesley Gasolina

Markus Jensen

Liziero

Filipe Soares

Pablo Ruan

Miguel Baeza

Daniel Júnior

Substitutes

Allen Obando

#9 · SUB

Daniel de La Cruz

#2 · SUB

Stavros Gavriel

#11 · SUB

Francisco Gonçalves

#33 · SUB

João Gonçalves

#13 · SUB

Deivison

#88 · SUB

William Kokolo

#21 · SUB

Mateus Iseppe

#23 · SUB

Matchoi Djoló

#20 · SUB

Head-to-head

CD Nacional

2 - 0

16 May

Vitória SC

2 - 1

2 Jan

CD Nacional

Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional: FAQ

What was the Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional score?

Vitória de Guimaraes vs C.D. Nacional (Primeira Liga) finished 1-0: Vitória de Guimaraes won. It was played on Sunday 23 August at Estádio D. Afonso Henriques, Guimarães.