Primeira Liga
Arouca vs Estrela: result and analysis
Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Arouca v Estrela in the Primeira Liga.
Data updated:
MBet statistical model
Arouca vs Estrela prediction and probabilities
What the model saw before kick-off: Arouca (48%)
Medium sample · 7/7 matches- 1 · Arouca
- 48%
- X · Draw
- 24%
- 2 · Estrela
- 27%
Expected goals
Arouca 1.79 · Estrela 1.29
Most likely scores
1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)
Based on goals from each team's last 7 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.
Confirmed data
Key facts
- Arouca went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
- Estrela went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12.
- At home, Arouca have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
- Away from home, Estrela have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
- In Arouca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
- In Estrela's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
- In the table, Arouca are 6th and Estrela 9th (11 and 10 points). Arouca sit 3 places higher.
- Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 1 win for Arouca, 1 for Estrela and 0 draws, with 2.5 goals per match.
Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.
Recent form
Both teams' results before this match.

Arouca
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
2
Draws
2
Losses
9-7
Goals
- D19 SeptSporting CP2-2Arouca
- L13 SeptArouca1-2Santa Clara
- D7 SeptEstoril0-0Arouca
- W29 AugArouca2-1Maritimo
- L23 AugFC Porto2-0Arouca
- W16 AugArouca4-0Moreirense

Estrela
Last 6 matches
2
Wins
3
Draws
1
Losses
12-12
Goals
- L20 SeptEstrela0-2Académico de Viseu
- D14 SeptRio Ave3-3Estrela
- W10 SeptEstrela2-1Braga
- D5 SeptEstrela2-2FC Famalicao
- W30 AugC.D. Nacional2-3Estrela
- D15 AugAlverca2-2Estrela
Standings
Arouca
6º
Pos.
11
Pts
7
P
Estrela
9º
Pos.
10
Pts
7
P
Line-ups
Starting XI as published by the source.

Arouca
Substitutes

Estrela
Substitutes
Head-to-head
FC Arouca
1 - 0
19 Apr
CF Estrela da Amadora
CF Estrela da Amadora
3 - 1
7 Dec
FC Arouca
Arouca vs Estrela: FAQ
What was the Arouca vs Estrela score?
Arouca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) finished 1-0: Arouca won. It was played on Sunday 11 October at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca.
What happened in the last Arouca vs Estrela?
The last recorded meeting was on 19 Apr: FC Arouca 1-0 CF Estrela da Amadora (Primeira Liga). This page lists 2 head-to-head games.
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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.