Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

1-0

Full-time
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 21:30Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca

Arouca vs Estrela: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Arouca v Estrela in the Primeira Liga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Arouca vs Estrela prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Arouca (48%)

Medium sample · 7/7 matches
1 · Arouca
48%
X · Draw
24%
2 · Estrela
27%

Expected goals

Arouca 1.79 · Estrela 1.29

Most likely scores

1-1 (11%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (8%)

Based on goals from each team's last 7 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Arouca went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
  • Estrela went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 12.
  • At home, Arouca have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Estrela have won 1 of their last 3 matches (2.7 goals scored and 2.3 conceded on average).
  • In Arouca's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 4 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Estrela's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 5 of 6.
  • In the table, Arouca are 6th and Estrela 9th (11 and 10 points). Arouca sit 3 places higher.
  • Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 1 win for Arouca, 1 for Estrela and 0 draws, with 2.5 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Arouca

Arouca

Last 6 matches

WLWDLD

2

Wins

2

Draws

2

Losses

9-7

Goals

  • D19 SeptSporting CP2-2Arouca
  • L13 SeptArouca1-2Santa Clara
  • D7 SeptEstoril0-0Arouca
  • W29 AugArouca2-1Maritimo
  • L23 AugFC Porto2-0Arouca
  • W16 AugArouca4-0Moreirense
Estrela

Estrela

Last 6 matches

DWDWDL

2

Wins

3

Draws

1

Losses

12-12

Goals

  • L20 SeptEstrela0-2Académico de Viseu
  • D14 SeptRio Ave3-3Estrela
  • W10 SeptEstrela2-1Braga
  • D5 SeptEstrela2-2FC Famalicao
  • W30 AugC.D. Nacional2-3Estrela
  • D15 AugAlverca2-2Estrela

Standings

Arouca

Arouca

6º

Pos.

11

Pts

7

P

Estrela

Estrela

9º

Pos.

10

Pts

7

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Arouca

Arouca

4-2-3-1
12
Ignacio De Arruabarrena
28
Tiago Esgaio
18
Orest Lebedenko
15
Javi Sánchez
3
José Fontán
8
Taichi Fukui
19
Alfonso Trezza
6
Espen Van Ee
10
Pablo Gozálbez
7
Näis Djouahra
17
Iván Martínez

Substitutes

GR
Gabrijel Rukavina
#20 · SUB
MF
Mateo Flores
#21 · SUB
JV
Jakub Vinarcik
#1 · SUB
MC
Mario Climent
#37 · SUB
DM
Diogo Monteiro
#4 · SUB
BM
Brian Mansilla
#24 · SUB
DN
Dylan Nandín
#23 · SUB
PS
Pedro Santos
#89 · SUB
LH
Lee Hyun-Ju
#14 · SUB
FM
Fally Mayulu
#9 · SUB
BP
Boris Popovic
#5 · SUB
LS
Leo Shahar
#2 · SUB
Estrela

Estrela

4-2-3-1
24
Leo Linck
21
Max Scholze
55
Rafa Soares
30
Luan Patrick
5
Stefan Lekovic
39
Eddy Doué
99
Abraham Marcus
78
Santiago Serra
14
Lovro Zvonarek
10
Ianis Stoica
37
Leandro Antonetti

Substitutes

EV
Emerson Vanga
#71 · SUB
RM
René Mitongo
#49 · SUB
TM
Tom Moustier
#28 · SUB
HP
Henrique Poniewas
#72 · SUB
AS
Alisson Souza
#80 · SUB
JE
Jefferson Encada
#17 · SUB
B
Bénito
#93 · SUB
KH
Kevin Höög Jansson
#6 · SUB
DP
Diogo Pinto
#51 · SUB
AC
Atanas Chernev
#79 · SUB
BS
Bernardo Schappo
#4 · SUB
LM
Lucas Mincarelli
#3 · SUB

Head-to-head

FC Arouca

1 - 0

19 Apr

CF Estrela da Amadora

CF Estrela da Amadora

3 - 1

7 Dec

FC Arouca

Arouca vs Estrela: FAQ

What was the Arouca vs Estrela score?

Arouca vs Estrela (Primeira Liga) finished 1-0: Arouca won. It was played on Sunday 11 October at Estádio Municipal de Arouca, Arouca.

What happened in the last Arouca vs Estrela?

The last recorded meeting was on 19 Apr: FC Arouca 1-0 CF Estrela da Amadora (Primeira Liga). This page lists 2 head-to-head games.

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.