Primeira Liga

Primeira Liga

Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 19:00Estádio da Luz, Lisbon

Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Benfica v Vitória de Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Benfica vs Vitória de Guimaraes prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Benfica (66%)

Medium sample · 8/7 matches
1 · Benfica
66%
X · Draw
20%
2 · Vitória de Guimaraes
13%

Expected goals

Benfica 2.15 · Vitória de Guimaraes 0.87

Most likely scores

2-0 (11%) · 1-0 (10%) · 2-1 (10%)

Based on goals from each team's last 8 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Benfica went into this match with good momentum: 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 6 matches, scoring 15 and conceding 5.
  • Vitória de Guimaraes went into this match with a difficult run: 1 win, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
  • At home, Benfica have won 2 of their last 2 matches (2.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Vitória de Guimaraes have not won any of their last 3 matches (1.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • In Benfica's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 5 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Vitória de Guimaraes's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 2 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In the table, Benfica are 4th and Vitória de Guimaraes 15th (16 and 5 points). Benfica sit 11 places higher.
  • Across the last 2 head-to-head meetings: 2 wins for Benfica, 0 for Vitória de Guimaraes and 0 draws, with 3.0 goals per match.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Benfica

Benfica

Last 6 matches

WWWWWL

5

Wins

0

Draws

1

Losses

15-5

Goals

  • L20 SeptFC Porto3-1Benfica
  • W16 SeptAC Milan0-2Benfica
  • W13 SeptBenfica3-1Gil Vicente
  • W9 SeptMoreirense0-4Benfica
  • W5 SeptMaritimo0-3Benfica
  • W31 AugBenfica2-1Estoril
Vitória de Guimaraes

Vitória de Guimaraes

Last 6 matches

LWLDLD

1

Wins

2

Draws

3

Losses

5-7

Goals

  • D20 SeptVitória de Guimaraes1-1Moreirense
  • L12 SeptAcadémico de Viseu2-1Vitória de Guimaraes
  • D6 SeptVitória de Guimaraes0-0Casa Pia
  • L31 AugBraga1-0Vitória de Guimaraes
  • W23 AugVitória de Guimaraes1-0C.D. Nacional
  • L14 AugSporting CP3-2Vitória de Guimaraes

Standings

Benfica

Benfica

4º

Pos.

16

Pts

7

P

Vitória de Guimaraes

Vitória de Guimaraes

15º

Pos.

5

Pts

7

P

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Benfica

Benfica

4-2-3-1
24
Samuel Soares
6
Alexander Bah
26
Samuel Dahl
3
Alessandro Circati
44
Tomás Araújo
36
João Palhinha
27
Rafa Silva
18
Leandro Barreiro
25
Gianluca Prestianni
21
Andreas Schjelderup
14
Vangelis Pavlidis

Substitutes

JD
Jhon Durán
#22 · SUB
MS
Manu Silva
#16 · SUB
GI
Gabriel Indio
#33 · SUB
AC
Anísio Cabral
#72 · SUB
GS
Georgiy Sudakov
#10 · SUB
FA
Fredrik Aursnes
#8 · SUB
TD
Tiago Dias Freitas
#88 · SUB
CE
Claudio Echeverri
#30 · SUB
AT
Anatoliy Trubin
#1 · SUB
JN
José Neto
#62 · SUB
SE
Souffian El Karouani
#34 · SUB
DL
Dodi Lukébakio
#11 · SUB
Vitória de Guimaraes

Vitória de Guimaraes

4-2-3-1
48
Oliwier Zych
23
Tony Strata
13
João Mendes
21
Toni Borevkovic
28
Thiago Balieiro
8
Gonçalo Nogueira
17
Miguel Nogueira
44
Lohann Doucet
20
Samu
7
Oumar Tourad Camara
9
Arnel Jakupovic

Substitutes

LF
Lucas Furtado
#98 · SUB
BM
Beni Mukendi
#16 · SUB
PO
Patrick Ouotro
#29 · SUB
A
Alan
#10 · SUB
SV
Santi Verdi
#56 · SUB
ÓR
Óscar Rivas
#4 · SUB
FD
Francisco Dias
#82 · SUB
MM
Miguel Maga
#2 · SUB
VA
Victor Andersson
#19 · SUB
TA
Telmo Arcanjo
#18 · SUB
MM
Matija Mitrovic
#6 · SUB
AS
Ahmed Sidibé
#5 · SUB

Head-to-head

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

3 - 0

21 Mar

Vitória SC

Vitória SC

0 - 3

1 Nov

Sport Lisboa e Benfica

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.