Bundesliga

Bundesliga

Saturday, 29 August 2026 at 18:30Signal Iduna Park, Aue

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV: result and analysis

Recent form, standings, line-ups and the MBet AI read on Borussia Dortmund v Hamburg SV in the Bundesliga.

Data updated:

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MBet statistical model

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg SV prediction and probabilities

What the model saw before kick-off: Borussia Dortmund (41%)

Small sample · 6/5 matches
1 · Borussia Dortmund
41%
X · Draw
27%
2 · Hamburg SV
33%

Expected goals

Borussia Dortmund 1.47 · Hamburg SV 1.29

Most likely scores

1-1 (13%) · 2-1 (9%) · 1-0 (9%)

Based on goals from each team's last 6 matches, adjusted for home and away. It does not account for absences, line-ups or opponent strength. It is an estimate, not a guarantee. 18+.

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Confirmed data

Key facts

  • Borussia Dortmund went into this match with mixed results: 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 7.
  • Hamburg SV went into this match with good momentum: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 5.
  • At home, Borussia Dortmund have not won any of their last 2 matches (1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded on average).
  • Away from home, Hamburg SV have won 2 of their last 3 matches (2.0 goals scored and 0.7 conceded on average).
  • In Borussia Dortmund's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 6, and both teams scored in 3 of 6.
  • In Hamburg SV's recent matches there were over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5, and both teams scored in 3 of 5.

Results, goals and standings come from the data source. The prediction probabilities are an estimate from the MBet AI model. Not available for this match: shots and corners per match, standings, enough head-to-head meetings.

Recent form

Both teams' results before this match.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

Last 6 matches

WLWLDL

2

Wins

1

Draws

3

Losses

9-7

Goals

  • L22 AugBorussia Dortmund1-2Bayern Munich
  • D15 AugBorussia Dortmund2-2AS Roma
  • L9 AugArsenal2-3Borussia Dortmund
  • W1 AugFC Tokyo0-1Borussia Dortmund
  • L29 JulCerezo Osaka1-0Borussia Dortmund
  • W16 MaySV Werder Bremen0-2Borussia Dortmund
Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

Last 5 matches

WDLWW

3

Wins

1

Draws

1

Losses

9-5

Goals

  • W24 AugSC Verl 19240-3Hamburg SV
  • W15 AugToulouse1-2Hamburg SV
  • L8 AugHamburg SV0-1Lille
  • D16 MayBayer Leverkusen1-1Hamburg SV
  • W10 MayHamburg SV3-2SC Freiburg

Line-ups

Starting XI as published by the source.

Borussia Dortmund

Borussia Dortmund

3-4-3
1
Gregor Kobel
24
Daniel Svensson
3
Waldemar Anton
22
Kouakou Gadou
26
Julian Ryerson
14
Maximilian Beier
7
Jobe Bellingham
8
Felix Nmecha
9
Serhou Guirassy
19
Konstantinos Karetsas
45
Giannis Konstantelias

Substitutes

FM
Filippo Mané
#39 · SUB
MS
Marcel Sabitzer
#20 · SUB
SI
Samuele Inácio
#40 · SUB
JV
Joey Veerman
#25 · SUB
LR
Luca Reggiani
#49 · SUB
KP
Kauã Prates
#36 · SUB
MA
Mathis Albert
#41 · SUB
AM
Alexander Meyer
#33 · SUB
FS
Fábio Silva
#21 · SUB
Hamburg SV

Hamburg SV

3-4-2-1
1
Daniel Heuer Fernandes
23
Jordan Torunarigha
33
Sebastiaan Bornauw
24
Nicolás Capaldo
18
Bakery Jatta
37
Louis Lemke
6
Albert Sambi Lokonga
21
Nicolai Remberg
27
Patson Daka
5
Martin Adeline
11
Albert Grønbaek

Substitutes

YP
Yussuf Poulsen
#15 · SUB
TM
Terem Moffi
#9 · SUB
SN
Shafiq Nandja
#43 · SUB
OS
Otto Stange
#19 · SUB
BN
Bilal Nadir
#4 · SUB
DE
Daniel Elfadli
#8 · SUB
RP
Rayan Philippe
#14 · SUB
ST
Sander Tangvik
#12 · SUB
KA
Kofi Amoako
#22 · SUB

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MBet AI data comes from public sources and may change until kick-off. The analysis is informational and does not guarantee results. 18+.